Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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966
FLUS44 KTSA 140221
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
921 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
921 PM CDT MON APR 13 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 1 AM.

DISCUSSION...
FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS RECEIVED 1-3 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
SHOULD GENERALLY BE LIGHT OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. AN ISOLATED THUNDER
POTENTIAL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING OVER FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS THE COLD FRONT THE PUSHED
THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE DAY HAD BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY
JUST SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK AS
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY IN WESTERN TEXAS
MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. A SECOND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT LOOK TO MOVE INTO THE PLAINS DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...THUS CONTINUING
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
A LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL LOOKS TO BE POSSIBLE THIS WEEK...WITH
A SLIGHTLY GREATER POTENTIAL LATE IN THE WEEK AS THE NEXT COLD
FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$






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