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146
FLUS43 KSGF 191936
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
236 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-201945-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
236 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE APPROACH OF A SUBTLE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN
CONJUNCTION WITH PEAK DAYTIME HEATING. A STRONG STORM OR TWO WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH...SMALL HAIL UP TO DIME
SIZE...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BUT THE OVERALL RISK FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE LOW.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OUT OF KANSAS INTO
WESTERN MISSOURI BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY SUNRISE TOMORROW MORNING OVER
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING
WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY WHERE ENOUGH HEATING AND
INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP. THE OVERALL BETTER CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND IN
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...MAINLY NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM NEOSHO TO
BOLIVAR TO VERSAILLES.

A STRAY THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ON A DAILY BASIS FRIDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AREAL
COVERAGE OF THE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY SPARSE WITH MOST
AREAS REMAINING DRY.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION
FRIDAY AND REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. AFTERNOON
HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE UPPER 90S WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

GRIFFIN