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FLUS44 KOUN 230306 AAA
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK ...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1006 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-240315-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1006 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVENT
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
THROUGH THIS EVENING. LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AS AN
INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET BRINGS DEEPER MOISTURE AND BETTER
INSTABILITY NORTHWARD. LOCATIONS NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
ERICK...TO LAWTON...TO SULPHUR WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE SOUTH OKLAHOMA CITY METRO IN
AND AROUND NEWCASTLE AND MOORE.

SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE POSING A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL NEAR
THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS...AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 50 TO 60 MPH.
FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY
MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS...DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT THURSDAY MAY 23.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...80 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...40 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
RIVER FLOODING MAY BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CLEAR BOGGY CREEK NEAR
CANEY IN ATOKA COUNTY IF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING PASSES OVER THIS AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT ACROSS FAR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS
WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AS THE MAIN HAZARDS. WHILE NOT
VERY LIKELY...THERE IS A SLIM CHANCE THAT SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY
MAY MOVE INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA DURING THE EVENING HOURS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE EACH DAY DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM
THURSDAY.

$$