960
FLUS44 KOUN 161339 CCA
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
839 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-171345-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
839 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH OVERNIGHT...NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM WICHITA FALLS
TEXAS TO SHAWNEE OKLAHOMA.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM 6 PM THROUGH
6 AM.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREA SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAINLY THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY DISSIPATE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING AND WILL REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS.

THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND
NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AS A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO
SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD
BECOME STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE LATER THIS AFTERNOON WITH A THREAT
OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA MAY DEVELOP INTO A
COMPLEX. THIS COMPLEX MAY THEN MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS ACROSS SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS. ANOTHER COMPLEX MAY THEN DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS...MOVING INTO NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY
MORNING HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE THE
PRIMARY CONCERNS WITH THESE COMPLEXES.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY JUN 17.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...70 PERCENT

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING AND FLOODING
OF CREEKS AND STREAMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING MONDAY MORNING AS THE COMPLEX FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE CONTINUING TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA.

FOR THE REMAINDER THE WEEK...A FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING A VARIOUS
TIMES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AND
URBANIZED AREAS.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY NOON
TODAY.

$$

BARNES/KURTZ