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FLUS44 KOUN 180048
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
745 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT...
PRIMARILY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM HOLLIS OKLAHOMA...
TO VERNON... AND SEYMOUR TEXAS.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM 10PM THROUGH 6AM.

IMPACTS...
THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...
WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD PLAN
FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS LATE TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO...
SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS...AND THE OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES THIS EVENING
WILL MOVE EAST AND SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL MERGE INTO A
COMPLEX AS THEY APPROACH FAR SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
LATER TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS...IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH... LARGE HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT TUESDAY JUN 18.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...60 PERCENT
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...30 PERCENT

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL CONTINUE TO RESIDE WITHIN A FAIRLY ACTIVE
WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MULTIPLE WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES CROSSING THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND HAIL THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING A VARIOUS
TIMES THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AND
URBANIZED AREAS.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM
TUESDAY.

$$

KURTZ/DAY/30