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165
FLUS44 KOUN 170023 CCA
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
720 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-171730-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
720 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DURING THE
EARLY TO MID EVENING AND AGAIN FROM 1 AM TO 6 AM.

IMPACTS...
THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING...
WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL SHOULD PLAN
FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS.

DISCUSSION...
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
DIMINISH IN INTENSITY WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING.

ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY MOVE INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA FROM THE NORTH AND
WEST...AS A COMPLEX OF STORMS MOVE OFF THE HIGH PLAINS.  THESE STORMS
WILL POSE OF RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY JUN 17.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...80 PERCENT

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING AND FLOODING
OF CREEKS AND STREAMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING MONDAY MORNING AS THE COMPLEX FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT TRACKS SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF OKLAHOMA.

FOR THE REMAINDER THE WEEK...A FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING A VARIOUS
TIMES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AND
URBANIZED AREAS.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5
AM MONDAY MORNING...OR AS UPDATES ARE NEEDED.

$$