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452
FLUS44 KOUN 161339 AAA
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
839 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-171345-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
839 AM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT...NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM WICHITA FALLS TEXAS TO
SHAWNEE OKLAHOMA.

DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS FAR NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY DISSIPATE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING AND WILL REMAIN BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS.

THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AS A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD
THROUGH THE DAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO
PERHAPS SEVERE LATER THIS AFTERNOON WITH A THREAT OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA MAY
DEVELOP INTO A COMPLEX. THIS COMPLEX MAY THEN MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. ANOTHER COMPLEX MAY THEN DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS...MOVING INTO
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND
EARLY MORNING HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN WILL
BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS WITH THESE COMPLEXES.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY JUN 17.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...70 PERCENT

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING AND FLOODING
OF CREEKS AND STREAMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING MONDAY MORNING AS THE COMPLEX FROM
SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE CONTINUING TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS
THE EASTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA.

FOR THE REMAINDER THE WEEK...A FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING A VARIOUS
TIMES THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AND
URBANIZED AREAS.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY NOON
TODAY.

$$

BARNES/KURTZ