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FLUS44 KOUN 171653
HWOOUN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1152 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1152 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO MAY AFFECT PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. IF A STORM DOES DEVELOP...
IT COULD BECOME SEVERE.

DISCUSSION...
STRONG SURFACE HEATING OF A MOIST AIRMASS IN WESTERN NORTH TEXAS MAY
BE SUFFICIENT FOR A STORM OR TWO TO OVERCOME THE CAP LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY THIS EVENING. HOWEVER... THIS CAP IS STRONG SO THERE IS A
GOOD CHANCE THAT NO STORMS DEVELOP. IF A STORM DOES DEVELOP... IT
COULD BECOME SEVERE PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH AND HAIL TO THE
SIZE OF QUARTERS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL END AFTER
SUNSET.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY MAY 18.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...10 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...60 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS WESTERN PARTS OF OKLAHOMA
AND NORTH TEXAS. THE BETTER POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WILL
BE SUNDAY AND MONDAY WHEN A DRYLINE AND WEAK COLD FRONT ARE IN THE AREA.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER BOTH DAYS WITH
VERY LARGE HAIL... DAMAGING WINDS... AND TORNADOES. THE DETAILS FOR
SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL CONTINUE TO CHANGE SO CHECK THE FORECAST OFTEN
AND PUT A SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY PLAN IN PLACE.

STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...BUT THE RISK
OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE MUCH LOWER.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING... ESPECIALLY IN
LOW-LYING AND/OR POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM
SATURDAY.
$$

MAXWELL