Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS

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831
FGUS72 KTAE 150809
ESFTAE
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-160900-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
409 AM EDT THU AUG 15 2013 /309 AM CDT THU AUG 15 2013/

...THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE FLOOD THREAT INCREASING...

THE COMBINATION OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...A STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...AND DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT A PROLONGED
THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES APPEAR LIKELY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. WHILE IT IS TOO EARLY TO
DETERMINE HOW SIGNIFICANT THE FLOODING MAY BE...IF WIDESPREAD
AMOUNTS OF AROUND 5 INCHES DO OCCUR...THEN AREAL FLOODING AS WELL
AS MINOR TO MODERATE RIVERINE FLOODING COULD BE PROBLEMATIC. IF
EVEN HIGHER WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OCCUR SUCH AS THE POTENTIAL 6 TO 10
INCHES MENTIONED ABOVE...THEN THE FLOOD SEVERITY WILL WORSEN. THIS
TYPE OF SITUATION COULD PRODUCE BOTH FLASH FLOODING IN SOME AREAS
AS WELL AS MODERATE TO MAJOR RIVERINE FLOODING. THE SEVERITY OF
THE FLOODING ON SPECIFIC RIVERS AND CREEKS WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND
ON THE LOCATION AND INTENSITY OF THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OR RAIN
BANDS...AND IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO PINPOINT THOSE SPECIFIC
DETAILS. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLASH
FLOOD WATCHES OR WARNINGS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

THE LATEST UP TO DATE INFORMATION ON OUR AREA RIVER STAGES CAN BE
FOUND AT OUR LOCAL ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE
(AHPS) AT: WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=TAE

$$

DVD
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