Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS

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836
FGUS72 KTAE 210930
ESFTAE
ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-
GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-212130-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
430 AM EST SUN DEC 21 2014 /330 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2014/

...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH AN
INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR AREAL AND RIVER FLOODING...

THE COMBINATION OF A VERY MOIST AIRMASS LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE REGION INTERACTING WITH A STRONG WINTER TIME STORM MOVING INTO
THE MID SOUTH WILL CREATE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA ON TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT
PLACEMENT OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL WITH THE STORM SYSTEM ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING IN A PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL OCCURRING ACROSS THE REGION DURING THIS TIME FRAME. STORM
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION...PARTICULARLY DURING THE
TIME OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL ON TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

WITH AREA RIVERS AND ASSOCIATED TRIBUTARIES AT OR BELOW NORMAL FLOWS
FOR DECEMBER...THE CURRENTLY PREDICTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ONLY RISES TO ACTION STAGE AT MOST
OF THE RIVER FORECAST POINTS. THE NOTABLE EXCEPTIONS TO THIS WILL
BE WITHIN THE OCHLOCKONEE AND WITHLACOOCHEE RIVER BASINS WHERE
THERE IS AN INCREASED POTENTIAL TO REACH MINOR FLOOD STAGE LATER
THIS WEEK. SHOULD MORE RAIN OCCUR THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...THE
CORRESPONDING RIVER FLOOD RISK WOULD INCREASE AND INCLUDE
ADDITIONAL RIVER BASINS REACHING AT LEAST MINOR FLOOD STAGE.

FOR THE LATEST RIVER STAGE INFORMATION...VISIT OUR AHPS PAGE AT
THE FOLLOWING LINK (ALL LOWERCASE):

HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=TAE

$$

GODSEY




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