Area Forecast Discussion
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694
FXUS62 KTAE 301952
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
352 PM EDT Sat Aug 30 2014

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...
The ongoing convection should gradually come to an end during the
evening hours, with no additional showers or storms expected after
06 UTC. It will be quite humid once again overnight with low temps
ranging from the lower 70s across far NE sections of south central
GA, to near 80 along the immediate coast. Patchy fog will also be
possible, but it should be not nearly as dense or as widespread as
last night.

.Short Term [Sunday Through Monday Night]...
Ridging will slowly build over the region through the short term
period. With light south to southeasterly flow at the surface for
the next couple of days, expect storms to largely be driven by the
daily sea breeze circulation. Storm coverage may be less on Monday
as the ridge becomes more established across the region. With a
building ridge, and more scattered storm coverage, expect
temperatures to gradually warm into the mid 90s each afternoon and
lows in the low to mid 70s.

.Long Term [Tuesday Through Saturday]...
The period will begin with a weak ridge in place across the
Southeast with near zonal flow across the northern stream. Early
in the period, near normal storm coverage is anticipated with the
lack of any large scale forcing. By Thursday, a tropical wave will
near the Florida east coast bringing an increase in moisture to
the region and weaken the ridge aloft. Thus in the latter part of
the period, rain chances will be on the increase.

Temperatures throughout the long term period will generally be a
couple of degrees above climatology through Thursday and then
near normal late in the period due to increased convective
activity.

&&

.Aviation...
[Through 18Z Sunday] Sct showers and storms will remain possible
at the terminals into this evening, with the best chances for rain
at DHN, ABY, and VLD. Overnight, expect any fog to be generally in
the MVFR range, and the only Taf site fcst to remain at VFR levels
through the period is ECP.

&&

.Marine...
High pressure just east of the marine area will keep south to
southeasterly winds 10 knots or less through the next several
days. Lingering southerly swell will keep seas west of
Apalachicola near 3 feet at times into Monday.

&&

.Fire Weather...
Afternoon Relative humidities will remain above critical levels for
the next several days with no fire weather concerns in the
foreseeable future.

&&

.Hydrology...
River levels will remain at their below normal levels into next
week as widespread rainfall is not anticipated.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   73  96  74  96  74 /  30  40  20  30  10
Panama City   78  92  75  92  77 /  20  20  10  20  10
Dothan        72  96  74  96  74 /  20  30  10  20  10
Albany        72  97  73  97  74 /  30  30  20  20  10
Valdosta      72  95  72  96  71 /  40  40  20  40  20
Cross City    72  94  73  95  72 /  40  50  20  30  20
Apalachicola  78  90  78  91  77 /  20  20  10  20  10

&&

.TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...GOULD
SHORT TERM...GODSEY
LONG TERM...GODSEY
AVIATION...GOULD
MARINE...GODSEY
FIRE WEATHER...GOULD
HYDROLOGY...GODSEY




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