Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26

685
FXUS62 KTAE 220240
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1040 PM EDT Tue Oct 21 2014

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...

Current fcst is well on track, and expect a generally clear and
cool night with near calm winds across the Tri-State area. The only
concern will be across the Coastal Waters, where winds may approach
cautionary levels towards morning.

&&

.Aviation...

[Through 00Z Thursday] VFR conditions with mostly clear skies will
dominate the tafs through the period. Winds will begin to increase
a bit out of the N-NE at most sites Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.Prev Discussion [303 PM EDT]...

.Short Term [Wednesday Through Thursday Night]...
The dry pattern will continue. A weak cold front will move through
on Wednesday with little fanfare other than to reinforce the dry
airmass already in place. Under abundant sunshine, daytime highs
both days will be just under seasonal levels. With the dry airmass
in place, low temps will be below normal. Lows Wednesday night
will dip into the lower to mid 40s all zones except around 50 to
the lower 50s along the coast.


.Long Term [Friday Through Tuesday]...
The dry pattern is expected to continue through the extended. Mean
upper level troughing along the east coast is expected to keep
deep moisture from returning to the area. Late in the period, the
pattern may start to change with a ridge building off the east
coast. However, no significant systems are expected to affect the
area for the next several days with PoPs below 20 percent.


.Marine...
Offshore flow will prevail for the next several days. Winds and
seas will increase on Wednesday as another dry cold front moves
through. Exercise caution conditions are possible on Wednesday
night, especially farther offshore.


.Fire Weather...
Progressively drier air will continue to filter into
the region during the next few days. No fire weather problems are
expected on Wednesday, but some areas may be of concern for
Thursday afternoon, and will be monitored closely.


.Hydrology...
Dry weather is expected for the next several days with no flooding
concerns.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   50  80  45  78  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   57  79  52  76  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        49  76  44  75  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        48  76  44  76  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      49  77  44  76  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    51  81  45  79  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  57  79  51  76  52 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...GOULD
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM...DVD
AVIATION...GOULD
MARINE...DVD/GOULD
FIRE WEATHER...GOULD
HYDROLOGY...DVD






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.