Area Forecast Discussion
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787
FXUS62 KTAE 251915
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
315 PM EDT Sat Oct 25 2014

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...
In the wake of a departing shortwave trough, deep layer ridging will
begin to build toward the region today. As high pressure at the
surface moves eastward into the region, light northerly flow is
expected. Continued dry conditions and sunny skies will allow
temperatures to warm into the upper 70s, with a few sites reaching
80 in North Florida.


.Short Term [Sunday Through Monday Night]...
Stacked high pressure will move across the area through the short
term period. With clear skies and weak winds, temperatures will warm
to the mid 80s during the day Sunday and Monday, dipping into the
low 50s Sunday night, mid 50s Monday night.


.Long Term [Tuesday Through Saturday]...
As the stacked high pressure moves off of the east coast, an
approaching trough will help push through our next cold front on
Wednesday. This next system will have very little energy and will
likely only bring us rain with higher chances for our northern
zones. Highs will be in the 80s with lows in the mid 50s to around
60 Tuesday and Wednesday. After the front moves through, highs will
be in the 70s and lows will be in the upper 40s to low 50s. By the
weekend, a shortwave trough aloft will push an even colder airmass
south. Highs on Saturday may be in the upper 60s to low 70s.


&&

.Aviation...
[Through 18Z Sunday] VFR conditions will prevail through the period
with light northerly winds during the daytime hours. MVFR conditions
are possible during the early morning hours at VLD.


&&

.Marine...
High pressure over the southeast will mean weak winds and low seas
through the weekend. Winds will shift to the south and increase
ahead of our next cold front on Wednesday, but remain below headline
criteria. Winds will shift to north and increase in the wake of the
cold front, possibly approaching advisory conditions next weekend.


&&

.Fire Weather...
Fair, dry, and mild weather will continue through Tuesday. However,
it will not be dry enough to meet local Red Flag Warning criteria.


&&

.Hydrology...
Out area rivers are well below flood stage and no flooding is
expected. Our next chance for rain will be Wednesday, but rainfall
totals are expected to be below 0.5".


&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   48  84  52  86  55 /   0   0   0   0  10
Panama City   57  81  61  82  64 /   0   0   0   0  10
Dothan        49  84  54  84  57 /   0   0   0   0  10
Albany        50  85  53  86  56 /   0   0   0   0  10
Valdosta      49  84  52  85  55 /   0   0   0   0  10
Cross City    47  83  51  86  55 /   0   0   0   0  10
Apalachicola  55  79  60  81  63 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MCDERMOTT
SHORT TERM...MOORE
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...MCDERMOTT
MARINE...MOORE
FIRE WEATHER...FOURNIER
HYDROLOGY...MOORE






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