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961
FXUS62 KTAE 241932
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
332 PM EDT Fri May 24 2013


.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
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Drier air will continue to filter into the region tonight. This
should allow unseasonably cool, almost fall-like, conditions to be
felt overnight as winds die down after dark. Expect inland lows in
the low to mid 50s (avg min for TAE is 64 degrees). This could
approach or set records for a few sites, although likely not at
Tallahassee which has a record tonight of 48.
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&&

.SHORT TERM [Saturday Through Sunday Night]...
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High pressure will settle in over the deep south through the
weekend bringing along a very dry airmass. High temperatures will
remain near normal (mid to upper 80s). With the dry airmass, low
temperatures will remain below normal, with morning temperatures
in the 50s Sunday and Monday mornings.
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&&

.LONG TERM [Monday through Friday]...
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An upper ridge is forecast to dominate the the southeastern states
through much of next week. This will keep the weather mostly dry
with temperatures at or a little above normal. Guidance suggest
some tropical moisture could move north in to the region very late
in the week or next weekend. However, there is considerable
uncertainty as to the timing of this moisture, so will not include
any PoPs in the forecast at this time.
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&&

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Saturday]...
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VFR conditions will remain dominant through the period. Gusty
n-nw winds this afternoon will wane quickly after midnight. Winds
will be more easterly tomorrow and a bit lighter.
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&&

.MARINE...
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Winds will increase late tonight in the wake of a cold front.
Exercise caution conditions are expected to begin after midnight
and continue through midday Saturday. Thereafter, high pressure
will build north of the region with moderate easterly flow
continuing into the middle of next week.
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&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
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It`s marginal, but it does appear that at least portions of our
warned area were at Red Flag criteria so far this afternoon.
Although it won`t be as breezy Saturday, it may actually be drier,
so we have upgraded the Fire Wx Watch to a warning. This dry airmass
will continue into Sunday, though it`s a bit early to tell if there
will be Red Flag conditions.
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&&

.HYDROLOGY...
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No hydrologic concerns through at least the middle of next week.
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&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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Tallahassee   54  87  54  88  59 /  0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   64  85  65  84  67 /  0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        55  87  57  89  62 /  0   0   0   0   0
Albany        54  86  55  89  60 /  0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      53  84  52  86  58 /  0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    54  87  53  88  59 /  0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  65  83  66  81  66 /  0   0   0   0   0
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&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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FL...RED FLAG WARNING until 7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ this evening for
     Calhoun-Gadsden-Inland Wakulla-Jackson-Leon-Liberty.
     RED FLAG WARNING from Saturday afternoon through Saturday
     evening for Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal Wakulla-
     Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Wakulla-Inland Walton-Leon-South
     Walton-Washington.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
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&&

$$
NEAR TERM...Evans
SHORT TERM...Camp
LONG TERM...Camp
AVIATION...Evans
MARINE...Camp
FIRE WEATHER...Fournier
HYDROLOGY...Camp