Area Forecast Discussion
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309 FXUS62 KTAE 250122 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 922 PM EDT Sun Aug 24 2014 .Near Term [Through Tonight]...
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Some convection lingers across coastal areas, especially around Panama City this evening, but otherwise most of it has pushed offshore into the Gulf. The only exception is a small cluster around Moultrie which should diminish in the next few hours. Overnight lows will range from the lower 70s across the northeast part of the area to the upper 70s along the coast.
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&& .Aviation...
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[Through 00Z Tuesday] VFR conditions are expected with high clouds gradually clearing out overnight. An isolated shower or storm may impact ECP this evening, but confidence was not high enough to include in the TAF. Tomorrow should be mostly sunny and generally dry, with gusty northeast winds. Gusts around 20 knots will be possible between 15Z and 00Z.
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&& .Prev Discussion [258 PM EDT]...
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.Short Term [Monday Through Tuesday Night]... A deep, dry airmass will move into our forecast area Monday and Tuesday, greatly reducing our rain chances. Although high temperatures won`t exactly be cool, they will be back to average (lower 90s) for this time of year. Additionally, the lower humidity and fresh east winds will make it feel more pleasant than what we`ve experienced the past several days. .Long Term [Wednesday Through Sunday]... The GFS and ECMWF forecast an area of higher heights over the Southeast through the period. Initially the deep layer moisture is forecast to be limited, but by next weekend it may be sufficient to support scattered mainly afternoon & evening storms (as opposed to just isolated storms Wednesday through Friday). Temperatures will be near climo, with lows in the 70s and highs in the 90s. .Marine... Northeast winds will increase overnight as the "backdoor" cold front moves southeast across the marine area. Winds & seas will be well above average for this time of year through at least Tuesday night- possibly reaching advisory levels at times. .Fire Weather... Hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected over the next several days. .Hydrology... After scattered storms today, expect a stretch of dry conditions through much of this week. As a result, river stages will remain low.
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&& .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
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Tallahassee 75 93 72 92 72 / 10 10 10 20 20 Panama City 78 92 75 92 75 / 70 10 10 20 20 Dothan 73 92 69 91 70 / 20 10 10 10 10 Albany 72 92 68 92 69 / 10 0 0 10 10 Valdosta 73 92 68 91 68 / 10 10 10 20 10 Cross City 75 91 71 91 69 / 10 30 10 20 10 Apalachicola 78 92 76 90 77 / 50 10 10 20 20
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&& .TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
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FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None.
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&& $$ NEAR TERM...DVD SHORT TERM...FOURNIER LONG TERM...FOURNIER AVIATION...LAMERS MARINE...FOURNIER FIRE WEATHER...HARRIGAN HYDROLOGY...GODSEY

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