899
FXUS62 KTAE 250141
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
941 PM EDT Fri May 24 2013

.NEAR TERM [Until 7 AM Saturday Morning]...
the cold front has moved offshore allowing a drier airmass to
filter into the region. This should allow unseasonably cool,
almost fall-like, conditions to be felt overnight. Expect inland
lows in the low to mid 50s (avg min for TAE is 64 degrees). This
could approach or set records for a few sites, although likely not
at Tallahassee where tonight`s record is 48 degrees.

&&

.SHORT TERM [7 AM Saturday Morning Through Sunday Night]...
High pressure will settle in over the deep south through the
weekend bringing along a very dry airmass. High temperatures will
remain near normal (mid to upper 80s). With the dry airmass, low
temperatures will remain below normal, with morning temperatures
in the 50s Sunday and Monday mornings.

&&

.LONG TERM [Monday through Friday]...
An upper ridge is forecast to dominate the the southeastern states
through much of next week. This will keep the weather mostly dry
with temperatures at or a little above normal. Guidance suggest
some tropical moisture could move north in to the region very late
in the week or next weekend. However, there is considerable
uncertainty as to the timing of this moisture, so will not include
any PoPs in the forecast at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
[through 00 UTC Sunday] Unlimited vis and cigs are expected
through the period. Gusty NW winds early this evening will become
light NE overnight, then E to NE near 10 KT by late Saturday
morning. A late afternoon sea breeze (S near 10 KT) is likely at
KECP Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds will increase late tonight in the wake of the cold front.
Exercise caution conditions are expected to begin after midnight
and continue through midday Saturday. Thereafter, high pressure
will build north of the region with moderate easterly flow
continuing into the middle of next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Although it won`t be as breezy Saturday as it was today, it may
actually be drier, so a red flag warning is in effect for a few
counties in the Florida Big Bend and Panhandle. This dry airmass
will continue into Sunday, though it`s a bit early to tell if
red flag conditions will be reached on that day.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
No hydrologic concerns are foreseen through next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   54  87  54  88  59 /  0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   64  85  65  84  67 /  0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        55  87  57  89  62 /  0   0   0   0   0
Albany        54  86  55  89  60 /  0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      53  84  52  86  58 /  0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    54  87  53  88  59 /  0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  65  83  66  81  66 /  0   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING from 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ to 8 PM EDT /7 PM
     CDT/ Saturday for Central Walton-Coastal Bay-Coastal
     Wakulla-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland Wakulla-Inland Walton-
     Leon-South Walton-Washington.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM/MARINE/HYDROLOGY...Wool
SHORT TERM/LONG TERM...Camp
AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...Fournier