Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
FXUS62 KTAE 251915
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
315 PM EDT Sat Oct 25 2014
.Near Term [Through Tonight]...
In the wake of a departing shortwave trough, deep layer ridging will
begin to build toward the region today. As high pressure at the
surface moves eastward into the region, light northerly flow is
expected. Continued dry conditions and sunny skies will allow
temperatures to warm into the upper 70s, with a few sites reaching
80 in North Florida.
.Short Term [Sunday Through Monday Night]...
Stacked high pressure will move across the area through the short
term period. With clear skies and weak winds, temperatures will warm
to the mid 80s during the day Sunday and Monday, dipping into the
low 50s Sunday night, mid 50s Monday night.
.Long Term [Tuesday Through Saturday]...
As the stacked high pressure moves off of the east coast, an
approaching trough will help push through our next cold front on
Wednesday. This next system will have very little energy and will
likely only bring us rain with higher chances for our northern
zones. Highs will be in the 80s with lows in the mid 50s to around
60 Tuesday and Wednesday. After the front moves through, highs will
be in the 70s and lows will be in the upper 40s to low 50s. By the
weekend, a shortwave trough aloft will push an even colder airmass
south. Highs on Saturday may be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
[Through 18Z Sunday] VFR conditions will prevail through the period
with light northerly winds during the daytime hours. MVFR conditions
are possible during the early morning hours at VLD.
High pressure over the southeast will mean weak winds and low seas
through the weekend. Winds will shift to the south and increase
ahead of our next cold front on Wednesday, but remain below headline
criteria. Winds will shift to north and increase in the wake of the
cold front, possibly approaching advisory conditions next weekend.
Fair, dry, and mild weather will continue through Tuesday. However,
it will not be dry enough to meet local Red Flag Warning criteria.
Out area rivers are well below flood stage and no flooding is
expected. Our next chance for rain will be Wednesday, but rainfall
totals are expected to be below 0.5".
.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
Tallahassee 48 84 52 86 55 / 0 0 0 0 10
Panama City 57 81 61 82 64 / 0 0 0 0 10
Dothan 49 84 54 84 57 / 0 0 0 0 10
Albany 50 85 53 86 56 / 0 0 0 0 10
Valdosta 49 84 52 85 55 / 0 0 0 0 10
Cross City 47 83 51 86 55 / 0 0 0 0 10
Apalachicola 55 79 60 81 63 / 0 0 0 0 10