Area Forecast Discussion
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685 FXUS62 KTAE 220240 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1040 PM EDT Tue Oct 21 2014 .Near Term [Through Tonight]...
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Current fcst is well on track, and expect a generally clear and cool night with near calm winds across the Tri-State area. The only concern will be across the Coastal Waters, where winds may approach cautionary levels towards morning.
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&& .Aviation...
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[Through 00Z Thursday] VFR conditions with mostly clear skies will dominate the tafs through the period. Winds will begin to increase a bit out of the N-NE at most sites Wednesday afternoon.
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&& .Prev Discussion [303 PM EDT]...
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.Short Term [Wednesday Through Thursday Night]... The dry pattern will continue. A weak cold front will move through on Wednesday with little fanfare other than to reinforce the dry airmass already in place. Under abundant sunshine, daytime highs both days will be just under seasonal levels. With the dry airmass in place, low temps will be below normal. Lows Wednesday night will dip into the lower to mid 40s all zones except around 50 to the lower 50s along the coast. .Long Term [Friday Through Tuesday]... The dry pattern is expected to continue through the extended. Mean upper level troughing along the east coast is expected to keep deep moisture from returning to the area. Late in the period, the pattern may start to change with a ridge building off the east coast. However, no significant systems are expected to affect the area for the next several days with PoPs below 20 percent. .Marine... Offshore flow will prevail for the next several days. Winds and seas will increase on Wednesday as another dry cold front moves through. Exercise caution conditions are possible on Wednesday night, especially farther offshore. .Fire Weather... Progressively drier air will continue to filter into the region during the next few days. No fire weather problems are expected on Wednesday, but some areas may be of concern for Thursday afternoon, and will be monitored closely. .Hydrology... Dry weather is expected for the next several days with no flooding concerns.
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&& .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... Tallahassee 50 80 45 78 45 / 0 0 0 0 0 Panama City 57 79 52 76 53 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dothan 49 76 44 75 45 / 0 0 0 0 0 Albany 48 76 44 76 45 / 0 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 49 77 44 76 45 / 0 0 0 0 0 Cross City 51 81 45 79 46 / 0 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 57 79 51 76 52 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...GOULD SHORT TERM...DVD LONG TERM...DVD AVIATION...GOULD MARINE...DVD/GOULD FIRE WEATHER...GOULD HYDROLOGY...DVD

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