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-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
022
FXUS62 KTAE 240118
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
918 PM EDT Thu May 23 2013

.NEAR TERM [Tonight]...
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Drier air continues to move into the region on northwesterly flow
as noted in the evening upper air observation. These dry
conditions will likely limit fog potential tonight and allow for
cool overnight lows down into the low to mid 60s, yielding a
respite from the recently humid last couple of days.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.SHORT TERM [7 AM Friday Morning Through Saturday Night]...
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Upper pattern across the CONUS is forecast to remain amplified
through the weekend, with troughs along the east and west coasts,
and a ridge in place over the central states. The northwest flow
across the deep south tonight and Friday will push a cold front
through the area. The main impact of the cold front will be to
usher in a much drier airmass, which will result in cooler
overnight lows through the weekend. Expect to see low temperatures
in the lower to mid 50s Saturday and Sunday mornings.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.LONG TERM [Sunday through Thursday]...
The overall pattern is expected to remain rather stagnant through
much of next week, with the troughs in place along the coasts and
the ridge over the center of the country. This will keep the
weather generally dry with temperatures close to seasonal norms.
ECMWF is a bit more amplified with the pattern, which may lead to
a few more showers over the Georgia zones by mid to late next
week.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 00z Friday].
Conditions will remain VFR with no VIS or CIGs restrictions
expected through the period.

&&

.MARINE...
Offshore winds will increase to near advisory levels Friday
night, in the wake of a cold front. Winds and seas will diminish
by late Saturday, as high pressure builds over the waters, and
remain minimal through early next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
The Fire Weather Watch for tomorrow has been maintained as is,
due to some continued uncertainty as to precise values of minimum
RH and wind speed. Either way, it is likely that conditions in SE
Alabama and the interior Florida Panhandle will be marginal for
red flag conditions. A decision on upgrading to a RFW will be made
later tonight. Otherwise, a drier air mass will be in place over
the region from Friday into the weekend. High dispersions are
likely on Friday over all of north Florida.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
No hydrologic concerns into next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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Tallahassee   63  90  54  86  53 /  0  10   0   0   0
Panama City   70  89  63  83  64 /  0  10   0   0   0
Dothan        64  88  54  86  57 /  0  10   0   0   0
Albany        62  86  52  84  55 /  0  10   0   0   0
Valdosta      62  87  54  84  52 /  0  10   0   0   0
Cross City    63  91  56  87  54 /  0  10   0   0   0
Apalachicola  68  88  64  82  64 /  0  10   0   0   0
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH from Friday afternoon through Friday
     evening for Calhoun-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Walton-Jackson-
     Liberty-Washington.
GA...None.
AL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH from Friday afternoon through Friday
     evening for Coffee-Dale-Geneva-Henry-Houston.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Godsey
SHORT TERM...Camp
LONG TERM...Camp
AVIATION...Walsh/Wool
MARINE...Camp
FIRE WEATHER...Walsh/Lamers
HYDROLOGY...Godsey