Area Forecast Discussion
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669
FXUS62 KTAE 121431
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
931 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2014

.Near Term [Through Today]...
Previous forecast is on track with no significant changes needed.

Surface high pressure centered over the Kentucky/Tennessee region
today will keep a cool and dry airmass in place with mostly sunny
skies. Despite the mostly sunny skies, afternoon high temperatures
will be slightly below normal, mainly in the lower 60s across the
area.

&&

.Prev Discussion [434 AM EST]...

.Short Term [Tonight Through Sunday]...
High pressure will build to the Gulf Coast late this evening to a
position just west of the region by sunrise. With clear skies and
light winds overnight, expect another chilly night with lows
likely reaching the freezing mark across interior areas. Surface
high pressure will then remain centered over the region into the
weekend as mid level ridging builds overhead. With a very dry
airmass, temperatures on Saturday night will again be quite
chilly, approaching the freezing mark away from the coast.
Afternoon temperatures will return to normal by Sunday with highs
in the upper 60s.


.Long Term [Sunday Night Through Friday]...
Mid level ridging will shift off the East Coast by Monday as the
next shortwave drives across the Central Plains. A weak cold front
will move across the Mississippi River on Monday afternoon and
approach our region by Tuesday morning. Models continue to
indicate that most of the lift associated with this system will
remain well to the north and with limited moisture return off the
Gulf, rain chances will remain low Monday night through Tuesday.
After the passage of this mainly dry cold front, high pressure at
the surface will build back over the region. The airmass behind
this cold front will not be especially cold, so temperatures are
anticipated to remain at or slightly above normal, especially with
respect to overnight lows.


.Aviation...
[Through 12Z Saturday] VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the period with light northwest winds.


.Marine...
Moderate offshore winds will continue this morning before
diminishing in the afternoon as high pressure builds near the
marine area. Light winds and low seas will persist through the
weekend before turning onshore on Monday.


.Fire Weather...
Relative humidity values will be near critical levels this
afternoon. However, the other criteria are not expected to be
supportive of red flag conditions for the next several days.


.Hydrology...
With all rivers below action stage and no rain expected through
Monday, there are no flooding concerns. The next chance for rain
will come Monday night and Tuesday.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   62  31  66  32  67 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   63  41  65  43  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        60  36  64  37  65 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        61  32  64  33  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      61  33  64  32  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    63  30  67  32  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  62  38  65  40  64 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...WESTON/DVD
SHORT TERM...GODSEY
LONG TERM...GODSEY
AVIATION...DVD
MARINE...GODSEY
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...GODSEY






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