Area Forecast Discussion
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013
FXUS62 KTAE 161945
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
345 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2014

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...
An upper level negatively tilted trough lies over the Ohio Valley,
giving us northwest flow aloft, while surface high pressure lies
along the western Gulf coast, keeping the winds northwest at the
lower levels as well. This pattern will keep us clear and dry with
light winds and highs in the upper 70s to around 80. With clear
skies and a cold airmass in place, overnight lows will dip into
the upper 40s overnight, low 50s over the immediate coastline.


.Short Term [Friday Through Saturday Night]...
Dry weather will prevail with a surface ridge centered just south
of the area and dry west-northwest flow aloft. Daytime highs will
be a bit warmer with mostly lower 80s on Friday and mid 80s on
Saturday. Overnight lows will generally be in the low to mid 50s
away from the coast with upper 50s to near 60 along the coast.


.Long Term [Sunday Through Thursday]...
Upper level troughing is expected to persist across the eastern
part of the country. The trough axis will be east of our area,
which is expected to keep us dry through the period. Temperatures
are expected to be within a few degrees of average.

&&

.Aviation...
[Through 18Z Friday] VFR will prevail with winds from the
northwest at 10 knots or less.

&&

.Marine...
Light winds and low seas are expected through the weekend with
high pressure the dominant feature.

&&

.Fire Weather...
RH values will dip to around 30 percent tomorrow, but short
durations and weak winds will prevent us from reaching red flag
criteria. By Saturday, humidity will begin to increase again.

&&

.Hydrology...
There are no flooding concerns at this time.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   48  83  52  86  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   59  82  61  84  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        49  82  56  84  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        48  83  54  84  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      49  82  53  84  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    49  83  51  85  54 /   0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  56  80  60  82  61 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 11 PM EDT /10 PM CDT/ this evening
     for Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...MOORE
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM...DVD
AVIATION...MOORE
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...MOORE
HYDROLOGY...CAMP






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