Area Forecast Discussion
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787 FXUS62 KTAE 251915 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 315 PM EDT Sat Oct 25 2014 .Near Term [Through Tonight]...
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In the wake of a departing shortwave trough, deep layer ridging will begin to build toward the region today. As high pressure at the surface moves eastward into the region, light northerly flow is expected. Continued dry conditions and sunny skies will allow temperatures to warm into the upper 70s, with a few sites reaching 80 in North Florida. .Short Term [Sunday Through Monday Night]... Stacked high pressure will move across the area through the short term period. With clear skies and weak winds, temperatures will warm to the mid 80s during the day Sunday and Monday, dipping into the low 50s Sunday night, mid 50s Monday night. .Long Term [Tuesday Through Saturday]... As the stacked high pressure moves off of the east coast, an approaching trough will help push through our next cold front on Wednesday. This next system will have very little energy and will likely only bring us rain with higher chances for our northern zones. Highs will be in the 80s with lows in the mid 50s to around 60 Tuesday and Wednesday. After the front moves through, highs will be in the 70s and lows will be in the upper 40s to low 50s. By the weekend, a shortwave trough aloft will push an even colder airmass south. Highs on Saturday may be in the upper 60s to low 70s.
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&& .Aviation...
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[Through 18Z Sunday] VFR conditions will prevail through the period with light northerly winds during the daytime hours. MVFR conditions are possible during the early morning hours at VLD.
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&& .Marine...
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High pressure over the southeast will mean weak winds and low seas through the weekend. Winds will shift to the south and increase ahead of our next cold front on Wednesday, but remain below headline criteria. Winds will shift to north and increase in the wake of the cold front, possibly approaching advisory conditions next weekend.
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&& .Fire Weather...
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Fair, dry, and mild weather will continue through Tuesday. However, it will not be dry enough to meet local Red Flag Warning criteria.
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&& .Hydrology...
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Out area rivers are well below flood stage and no flooding is expected. Our next chance for rain will be Wednesday, but rainfall totals are expected to be below 0.5".
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&& .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
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Tallahassee 48 84 52 86 55 / 0 0 0 0 10 Panama City 57 81 61 82 64 / 0 0 0 0 10 Dothan 49 84 54 84 57 / 0 0 0 0 10 Albany 50 85 53 86 56 / 0 0 0 0 10 Valdosta 49 84 52 85 55 / 0 0 0 0 10 Cross City 47 83 51 86 55 / 0 0 0 0 10 Apalachicola 55 79 60 81 63 / 0 0 0 0 10
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&& .TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...MCDERMOTT SHORT TERM...MOORE LONG TERM...MOORE AVIATION...MCDERMOTT MARINE...MOORE FIRE WEATHER...FOURNIER HYDROLOGY...MOORE

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