Area Forecast Discussion
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452
FXUS62 KTAE 191312
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
912 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2014

.Near Term [Through Today]...
Slightly cooler and drier air will prevail today behind a cold front
with afternoon highs mainly in the upper 70s to around 80.

&&

.Prev Discussion [259 AM EDT]...

.Short Term [Tonight Through Tuesday]...
Seasonably cool night on tap for tonight with a dry atmosphere in
place and high pressure situated just north of the forecast area.
Upper trough over the eastern U.S. will reamplify on Monday with
a shortwave cross the region during the afternoon. Moisture will
be very limited, so threat of showers appears minimal and will
leave PoPs below 20 percent for now. A reinforcing shot of dry air
will follow this shortwave Monday night and Tuesday. Otherwise,
airmass will modify slightly with highs in the upper 70s/lower 80s
on Monday becoming lower to mid 80s on Tuesday.


.Long Term [Tuesday Night Through Sunday]...
The prevailing pattern will feature dry, northwest aloft through
most of the period with the mean upper level trough axis east of
the area. PoPs still look like they will remain 20 percent with
temperatures near average during the day and a few degrees below
average at night with the dry air in place.


.Aviation...
[Through 12Z Monday] VFR conditions will prevail with winds
around 10 knots or less this afternoon.


.Marine...
In the wake of a cold front, exercise caution level offshore
winds this morning will diminish during the afternoon. A brief
easterly surge will then be possible tonight over the eastern
waters. Thereafter, winds and seas will be minimal through
Tuesday, before northeasterly flow increases again mid-week.


.Fire Weather...
Red Flag conditions are not expected over the next several days.


.Hydrology...
Dry weather is expected for the next several days with no
flooding concerns.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   79  53  81  56  83 /   0   0  10   0   0
Panama City   77  58  80  61  81 /   0   0  10   0   0
Dothan        76  50  79  52  80 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        77  48  79  52  82 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      78  51  80  56  81 /   0   0   0   0  10
Cross City    81  55  83  59  84 /   0   0  10  10  10
Apalachicola  77  60  79  63  80 /   0   0  10   0  10

&&

.TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...CAMP
LONG TERM...DVD
AVIATION...BARRY
MARINE...CAMP
FIRE WEATHER...BARRY
HYDROLOGY...DVD






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