Area Forecast Discussion
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057 FXUS62 KTAE 242125 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 425 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2015 .Near Term [Through Tonight]...
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The last remaining clouds behind the front are clearing west to east. Skies will be clear overnight allowing temperatures to reach the low 30s inland to near 40 at the coast. Winds will be light and areas of frost are possible. .Short Term [Sunday Through Monday Night]... Southerly flow will be in place on Sunday bringing warmer temps and sunny skies. Highs will be in the low to mid 60s. Sunday night a cold front will move through. Only a slight chance of rain is expected Sunday night into Monday morning since moisture is scarce. Some clouds may linger into Monday as the trough stalls over the Atlantic Seaboard. At the sfc, cooler, drier air will move in on Monday with highs in the 50s. Lows will be in the low 40s on Sunday night and mid 30s on Monday night. .Long Term [Tuesday Through Saturday]... A deep upper level trough will remain over the Atlantic Seaboard until Wednesday night when an upper level ridge builds in. High pressure at the sfc will move in by Wednesday. Flow will be northerly and cool, dry air will remain in place until Thursday when another low pressure system approaches. Another cold front will move through Thursday night into Friday morning, bringing only a slight chance of rain. Temperatures will be seasonal with highs generally in the upper 50s and lower 60s. Lows will be in the mid to upper 30s on Tuesday night and Wednesday night. Lows will be in the 40s for the rest of the forecast period.
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&& .Aviation...
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[Through 18Z Sunday] MVFR ceilings remain at VLD until clearing to VFR at 22Z. VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals with gusty northwest winds. Winds will calm to around 5 knots overnight.
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&& .Marine...
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A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 10 pm EST. Winds will decrease below 20 knots this evening. However, wave heights in excess of 7 feet will continue in the outer waters until 10 pm EST. Winds will become light overnight tonight, but will pick up again Sunday night with Advisory conditions likely through Monday. By Tuesday morning, moderate northerly winds are expected until Wednesday night when winds shift to light and southerly.
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&& .Fire Weather...
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Even though much cooler and drier air will be moving into the region during the next couple of days, no Red Flag conditions are expected at anytime in the near future.
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&& .Hydrology...
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After the rain yesterday most of the area rivers are on the rise. The Aucilla at Lamont and the Withlacoochee at Valdosta are forecast to reach minor flood stage overnight tonight and tomorrow night, respectively. Within the next week, more minor flooding will be possible along the St. Marks, Ochlockonee, and Kinchafoonee rivers, where rises are forecast to be slower.
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&& .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
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Tallahassee 34 65 43 59 37 / 0 0 20 10 0 Panama City 40 64 46 57 41 / 0 0 20 10 0 Dothan 36 63 41 53 36 / 0 0 20 10 0 Albany 32 62 41 55 34 / 0 0 20 20 0 Valdosta 35 63 42 57 37 / 0 0 20 20 0 Cross City 32 64 44 60 37 / 0 0 20 10 0 Apalachicola 40 62 49 60 41 / 0 0 20 10 0
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&& .TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
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FL...RIP CURRENT RISK until 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ Sunday for Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf-South Walton. GA...None. AL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for Apalachee Bay-Coastal waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola FL out to 20 NM-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.
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&& $$ NEAR TERM...WESTON SHORT TERM...MCDERMOTT LONG TERM...MCDERMOTT AVIATION...WESTON MARINE...MCDERMOTT FIRE WEATHER...WESTON HYDROLOGY...WESTON

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