Area Forecast Discussion
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948 FXUS62 KTAE 170645 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 245 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2014 .Near Term [Through Today]...
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Weak troughing in the mid/upper levels will transition to become nearly zonal by this evening. Meanwhile, weak ridging will be in place at the surface. We will see a continuation of dry weather along with abundant sunshine. After a cool start to the day, temps will max out in the lower to mid 80s. .Short Term [Tonight Through Sunday]... Upper ridge over the Gulf will begin to break down tonight as a trough deepens over the eastern half of the country. This will push a dry cold front through the region Saturday afternoon and evening. Ahead of the front, temperatures will be mild, with highs in the mid 80s Saturday afternoon. A cooler airmass will slide into the area on Sunday, with highs in the upper 70s to around 80. .Long Term [Sunday Night Through Friday]... Upper level troughing is expected to persist across the eastern part of the country. The trough axis will be east of our area, which is expected to keep us dry through the period. Temperatures are expected to be within a few degrees of average.
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&& .Aviation...
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[Through 12Z Saturday] VFR will prevail with light westerly winds today.
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&& .Marine...
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Winds and seas will remain minimal through Saturday with high pressure in place over the region. A front will cross the waters late Saturday with winds near exercise caution levels on Sunday. Light winds will return by Monday.
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&& .Fire Weather...
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The minimum relative humidity may briefly drop below 30 percent across portions of the Tri-state region today. However, other critical fire weather parameters will not reach Red Flag levels.
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&& .Hydrology...
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There are no flooding concerns at this time.
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&& .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
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Tallahassee 83 52 85 55 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 Panama City 82 62 84 60 79 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dothan 83 56 83 52 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 Albany 84 54 84 53 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 83 53 83 54 78 / 0 0 0 0 0 Cross City 84 51 83 55 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 81 60 81 61 79 / 0 0 0 0 0
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&& .TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
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FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None.
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&& $$ NEAR TERM...BARRY SHORT TERM...CAMP LONG TERM...DVD AVIATION...BARRY MARINE...CAMP FIRE WEATHER...BARRY HYDROLOGY...CAMP

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