Area Forecast Discussion
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368 FXUS62 KTAE 281430 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 930 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2014 .Near Term [Through Today]...
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With high pressure settling over the area, the previous forecast is on track. Highs will be in the mid 50s which is about 10 to 15 degrees below normal.
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&& .Hydrology...
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The Ochlockonee River at Thomasville should crest today and will reach action or bank full stage at Concord and Havana on Sunday. With no significant rainfall forecast, there are no other river flooding concerns.
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&& .Prev Discussion [340 AM EST]...
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.Short Term [Tonight Through Sunday]... The relatively cold weather pattern will continue tonight with a light freeze for most inland areas along with areas of frost. On Saturday, the surface ridge slides further east with low level flow becoming onshore. Meanwhile, the upper ridge will be building in from the west with deep layer ridging firmly in place on Sunday. This will mean dry conditions along with a warming trend. Highs will be in the mid 60s most areas Saturday and the lower to mid 70s on Sunday. lows Saturday will be in the lower to mid 40s inland areas and around 50 along the coast. .Long Term [Sunday Night Through Friday]... The deep layer ridging will begin to break down and move east as a short wave trough approaches and enters our CAW Monday night and Tuesday. However, with deep moisture lacking and weak upper level forcing we currently don`t see much opportunity for rain with this feature. As the trough passes to our east on Wednesday, the mid/upper level flow becomes nearly zonal through the remainder of the week. Lows will be near average through the period, generally in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Highs will also be near average, in the upper 60s to mid 70s.
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&& .Marine... Advisory conditions will persist beyond 20 NM offshore through this morning, followed by a decrease in winds and seas for the weekend into early this week. && .Fire Weather... A moderately dry air mass will linger over the region through the weekend, but RH will not reach critical levels. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... Tallahassee 56 30 66 41 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 Panama City 55 41 65 51 71 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dothan 54 34 66 44 72 / 0 0 0 0 0 Albany 53 31 64 40 72 / 0 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 54 32 65 40 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 Cross City 58 31 68 41 76 / 0 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 57 42 64 52 71 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
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FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST this morning for Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.
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&& $$ NEAR TERM...WESTON SHORT TERM...BARRY LONG TERM...BARRY AVIATION...LAMERS MARINE...BARRY FIRE WEATHER...LAMERS HYDROLOGY...WESTON

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