Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
442 FXUS62 KTAE 282021 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 321 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2014 .Near Term [Through Tonight]...
-- Changed Discussion --
With the surface high centered over the area, skies will be clear and winds will be very light which will be a good set up for radiational cooling. Low temperatures tonight will be in the low 30s inland and near 40 along the coast which is about 10 to 15 degrees below normal for this time of year. These low temps combined with gradually increasing dewpoints will allow areas of frost to develop across much of the interior overnight. .Short Term [Saturday Through Sunday Night]... With Sfc ridging remaining in control through the period, and the current upper level trof (around 574-576dm) being replaced by a 586dm ridge, a steady warming trend is expected through the weekend. After one last cold night tonight, overnight lows will moderate into the upper 30s to the upper 40s from N to S on Sat. night, and middle 40s to the lower to middle 50s on Sunday night. High temps will warm steadily as well, with highs on Saturday expected to be in the lower 60s across NE portions of the region (and along the immediate coast), to the middle to upper 60s elsewhere. On Sunday, highs should once again surpass climo with generally lower to middle 70s anticipated at this time. However, if the upper level ridging is indeed this strong, would not be surprised if the current fcst for Sunday aftn is a but too conservative, with the possibility of a few locations (likely the SE FL Big Bend) approaching the 80 degree mark. .Long Term [Monday Through Friday]... Sfc and Upper Level Ridging will generally dominate the synoptic pattern through the period, with a prolonged stretch of fair weather with above climo temps for both highs and lows.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .Aviation...
-- Changed Discussion --
[Through 18Z Saturday] VFR conditions will prevail throughout the period with light winds and unlimited ceilings and visibility.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .Marine...
-- Changed Discussion --
As the ridge of high pressure becomes better established over the coastal waters, winds and seas will continue to decrease through the remainder of today, and then remain light to moderate for much of the remainder of the period.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .Fire Weather...
-- Changed Discussion --
Moisture values will steadily increase over the next several days. This will preclude any hazardous fire weather conditions.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .Hydrology... The Ochlockonee River at Thomasville should crest today and will reach action or bank full stage at Concord and Havana on Sunday. With no significant rainfall forecast, there are no other river flooding concerns. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
-- Changed Discussion --
Tallahassee 30 67 41 74 50 / 0 0 0 0 10 Panama City 40 63 51 71 56 / 0 0 0 0 10 Dothan 34 64 43 71 48 / 0 0 0 0 10 Albany 31 64 39 72 46 / 0 0 0 0 10 Valdosta 32 64 40 72 48 / 0 0 0 0 10 Cross City 31 68 42 76 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 41 62 51 69 56 / 0 0 0 0 10
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
-- Changed Discussion --
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EST this evening for Coastal Gulf. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& $$ NEAR TERM...WESTON SHORT TERM...GOULD LONG TERM...GOULD AVIATION...WESTON MARINE...GOULD FIRE WEATHER...HARRIGAN HYDROLOGY...WESTON

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.