Area Forecast Discussion
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694 FXUS62 KTAE 301952 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 352 PM EDT Sat Aug 30 2014 .Near Term [Through Tonight]...
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The ongoing convection should gradually come to an end during the evening hours, with no additional showers or storms expected after 06 UTC. It will be quite humid once again overnight with low temps ranging from the lower 70s across far NE sections of south central GA, to near 80 along the immediate coast. Patchy fog will also be possible, but it should be not nearly as dense or as widespread as last night. .Short Term [Sunday Through Monday Night]... Ridging will slowly build over the region through the short term period. With light south to southeasterly flow at the surface for the next couple of days, expect storms to largely be driven by the daily sea breeze circulation. Storm coverage may be less on Monday as the ridge becomes more established across the region. With a building ridge, and more scattered storm coverage, expect temperatures to gradually warm into the mid 90s each afternoon and lows in the low to mid 70s. .Long Term [Tuesday Through Saturday]... The period will begin with a weak ridge in place across the Southeast with near zonal flow across the northern stream. Early in the period, near normal storm coverage is anticipated with the lack of any large scale forcing. By Thursday, a tropical wave will near the Florida east coast bringing an increase in moisture to the region and weaken the ridge aloft. Thus in the latter part of the period, rain chances will be on the increase. Temperatures throughout the long term period will generally be a couple of degrees above climatology through Thursday and then near normal late in the period due to increased convective activity.
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&& .Aviation...
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[Through 18Z Sunday] Sct showers and storms will remain possible at the terminals into this evening, with the best chances for rain at DHN, ABY, and VLD. Overnight, expect any fog to be generally in the MVFR range, and the only Taf site fcst to remain at VFR levels through the period is ECP.
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&& .Marine...
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High pressure just east of the marine area will keep south to southeasterly winds 10 knots or less through the next several days. Lingering southerly swell will keep seas west of Apalachicola near 3 feet at times into Monday.
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&& .Fire Weather...
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Afternoon Relative humidities will remain above critical levels for the next several days with no fire weather concerns in the foreseeable future.
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&& .Hydrology...
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River levels will remain at their below normal levels into next week as widespread rainfall is not anticipated.
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&& .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
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Tallahassee 73 96 74 96 74 / 30 40 20 30 10 Panama City 78 92 75 92 77 / 20 20 10 20 10 Dothan 72 96 74 96 74 / 20 30 10 20 10 Albany 72 97 73 97 74 / 30 30 20 20 10 Valdosta 72 95 72 96 71 / 40 40 20 40 20 Cross City 72 94 73 95 72 / 40 50 20 30 20 Apalachicola 78 90 78 91 77 / 20 20 10 20 10
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&& .TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...GOULD SHORT TERM...GODSEY LONG TERM...GODSEY AVIATION...GOULD MARINE...GODSEY FIRE WEATHER...GOULD HYDROLOGY...GODSEY

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