Area Forecast Discussion
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657 FXUS62 KTAE 261314 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 915 AM EDT Sun Oct 26 2014 .UPDATE...The forecast is on track and no updates are anticipated. .Near Term [Through Today]... Ridging at the surface and aloft will build over the region today helping to continue the dry stretch of weather for the region. With high pressure in control, expect clear skies and a warm afternoon with highs in the low to mid 80s. .Short Term [Tonight Through Tuesday]... A deep layer ridge of high pressure will slide east across the forecast area through Tuesday. This will keep the weather dry and afternoon temperatures well above normal. Expect to see highs in the mid 80s Sunday afternoon and Tuesday afternoon. Overnight lows will generally be in the lower to mid 50s. Could see a little fog begin to return around sunrise over the next few nights, with the ridge overhead and low level moisture slowly increasing. .Long Term [Tuesday Night Through Sunday]... As the stacked high pressure moves off of the east coast, an approaching trough will help push through our next cold front on Wednesday. This next system will have very little energy and will likely only bring us rain with higher chances for our northern zones. Highs will be in the 80s with lows in the mid 50s to around 60 Tuesday and Wednesday. After the front moves through, highs will be in the 70s and lows will be in the upper 40s to low 50s. By the weekend, a shortwave trough aloft will push an even colder airmass south. Highs on Saturday may be in the upper 60s to low 70s. && .Aviation... [Through 12Z Monday] VFR conditions will prevail through most of the TAF cycle. A brief period of MVFR visibilities will be possible on Monday morning at VLD. && .Marine... Light and variable winds today will become southerly to southeasterly on Monday continuing into mid-week. Light offshore flow will return by Thursday. No headline conditions are anticipated through at least Thursday. && .Fire Weather... A moistening trend will begin today and continue through much of this week. Relative humidity values are expected to remain above critical thresholds today, bottoming out around 30 percent in the afternoon. With moisture on the increase, no fire weather concerns are expected for the next several days. && .Hydrology... All area rivers are well below flood stage and no flooding is expected. Our next chance for rain will be Wednesday, but rainfall totals are expected to be below 0.5". && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... Tallahassee 85 50 85 55 85 / 0 0 0 0 10 Panama City 82 61 83 63 82 / 0 0 0 0 10 Dothan 84 54 85 57 83 / 0 0 0 0 10 Albany 84 54 87 56 85 / 0 0 0 0 10 Valdosta 84 52 86 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 10 Cross City 84 49 85 54 85 / 0 0 0 0 10 Apalachicola 80 58 80 63 81 / 0 0 0 0 10 && .TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && $$ UPDATE...BARRY NEAR TERM...GODSEY SHORT TERM...CAMP LONG TERM...MOORE AVIATION...GODSEY MARINE...CAMP FIRE WEATHER...GODSEY HYDROLOGY...MOORE

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