Area Forecast Discussion
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303 FXUS62 KTAE 190659 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 259 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2014 .Near Term [Through Today]...
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A slightly cooler and drier airmass will filter into the region behind a cold front pushing southward across north Florida early this morning. Highs will be in the upper 70s to around 80. .Short Term [Tonight Through Tuesday]... Seasonably cool night on tap for tonight with a dry atmosphere in place and high pressure situated just north of the forecast area. Upper trough over the eastern U.S. will reamplify on Monday with a shortwave cross the region during the afternoon. Moisture will be very limited, so threat of showers appears minimal and will leave PoPs below 20 percent for now. A reinforcing shot of dry air will follow this shortwave Monday night and Tuesday. Otherwise, airmass will modify slightly with highs in the upper 70s/lower 80s on Monday becoming lower to mid 80s on Tuesday. .Long Term [Tuesday Night Through Sunday]... The prevailing pattern will feature dry, northwest aloft through most of the period with the mean upper level trough axis east of the area. PoPs still look like they will remain 20 percent with temperatures near average during the day and a few degrees below average at night with the dry air in place.
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&& .Aviation...
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[Through 12Z Monday] VFR conditions will prevail with winds around 10 knots or less this afternoon.
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&& .Marine...
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In the wake of a cold front, exercise caution level offshore winds this morning will diminish during the afternoon. A brief easterly surge will then be possible tonight over the eastern waters. Thereafter, winds and seas will be minimal through Tuesday, before northeasterly flow increases again mid-week.
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&& .Fire Weather...
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Red Flag conditions are not expected over the next several days.
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&& .Hydrology...
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Dry weather is expected for the next several days with no flooding concerns.
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&& .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
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Tallahassee 79 53 81 56 83 / 0 0 10 0 0 Panama City 77 58 80 61 81 / 0 0 10 0 0 Dothan 76 50 79 52 80 / 0 0 0 0 0 Albany 77 48 79 52 82 / 0 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 78 51 80 56 81 / 0 0 0 0 10 Cross City 81 55 83 59 84 / 0 0 10 10 10 Apalachicola 77 60 79 63 80 / 0 0 10 0 10
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&& .TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...BARRY SHORT TERM...CAMP LONG TERM...DVD AVIATION...BARRY MARINE...CAMP FIRE WEATHER...BARRY HYDROLOGY...DVD

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