Area Forecast Discussion
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013 FXUS62 KTAE 161945 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 345 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2014 .Near Term [Through Tonight]...
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An upper level negatively tilted trough lies over the Ohio Valley, giving us northwest flow aloft, while surface high pressure lies along the western Gulf coast, keeping the winds northwest at the lower levels as well. This pattern will keep us clear and dry with light winds and highs in the upper 70s to around 80. With clear skies and a cold airmass in place, overnight lows will dip into the upper 40s overnight, low 50s over the immediate coastline. .Short Term [Friday Through Saturday Night]... Dry weather will prevail with a surface ridge centered just south of the area and dry west-northwest flow aloft. Daytime highs will be a bit warmer with mostly lower 80s on Friday and mid 80s on Saturday. Overnight lows will generally be in the low to mid 50s away from the coast with upper 50s to near 60 along the coast. .Long Term [Sunday Through Thursday]... Upper level troughing is expected to persist across the eastern part of the country. The trough axis will be east of our area, which is expected to keep us dry through the period. Temperatures are expected to be within a few degrees of average.
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&& .Aviation...
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[Through 18Z Friday] VFR will prevail with winds from the northwest at 10 knots or less.
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&& .Marine...
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Light winds and low seas are expected through the weekend with high pressure the dominant feature.
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&& .Fire Weather...
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RH values will dip to around 30 percent tomorrow, but short durations and weak winds will prevent us from reaching red flag criteria. By Saturday, humidity will begin to increase again.
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&& .Hydrology...
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There are no flooding concerns at this time.
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&& .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
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Tallahassee 48 83 52 86 54 / 0 0 0 0 0 Panama City 59 82 61 84 60 / 0 0 0 0 0 Dothan 49 82 56 84 53 / 0 0 0 0 0 Albany 48 83 54 84 52 / 0 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 49 82 53 84 53 / 0 0 0 0 0 Cross City 49 83 51 85 54 / 0 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 56 80 60 82 61 / 0 0 0 0 0
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&& .TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
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FL...High Rip Current Risk until 11 PM EDT /10 PM CDT/ this evening for Coastal Bay-Coastal Gulf. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None.
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&& $$ NEAR TERM...MOORE SHORT TERM...DVD LONG TERM...DVD AVIATION...MOORE MARINE...DVD FIRE WEATHER...MOORE HYDROLOGY...CAMP

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