Area Forecast Discussion
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712 FXUS62 KTAE 261851 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 251 PM EDT Sun Oct 26 2014 .Near Term [Through Tonight]... Ridging at the surface and aloft will build over the region today helping to continue the dry stretch of weather for the region. With high pressure in control, expect clear skies and a warm afternoon with highs in the low to mid 80s. Clear skies overnight means that patchy fog is possible in the early morning hours. Lows tonight will be in the low 50s. .Short Term [Monday Through Tuesday Night]... Stacked high pressure will move eastward across the area early this week ahead of our next cold front. With clear skies and weak winds, temperatures will rise to the mid to upper 80s on Monday, dipping to the mid to upper 50s Monday night. As winds shift to the south and cloud cover begins to increase ahead of our next cold front, temperatures Tuesday will stay in the low to mid 80s during the day, cooling to the upper 50s to low 60s overnight. .Long Term [Wednesday Through Sunday]... An upper level trough crossing over the eastern CONUS will help push through our next cold front on Wednesday. This next system will have very little energy and will likely only bring us light rain with the highest chances for rain (40%) in our northern zones. Highs will be in the low 80s Wednesday as the front crosses through, cooling to the 70s Thursday and Friday and cooling further into the upper 60s over the weekend as a dry cold front pushes into the southeast. Lows will be in the mid 50s Wednesday night, upper 40s to low 50s Thursday night, and dipping further into the lower 40s over the weekend. && .Aviation... [Through 18Z Monday] VFR conditions will prevail through most of the TAF cycle. A brief period of MVFR visibilities will be possible during the early morning hours. && .Marine... Light and variable winds tonight will shift to the south and increase to around 10 knots Monday ahead of our next cold front which will cross the area on Wednesday. Winds will shift to north in the wake of the cold front and will remain below headline criteria through Thursday. After a dry cold front, winds may approach advisory conditions next weekend. && .Fire Weather... Fair and mild weather will continue through Tuesday, with no Red Flag conditions expected. A cold front will move through the region mid week, bringing with it a modest chance for rain. && .Hydrology... Our next chance for rain is Wednesday, but rainfall totals are expected to be below 0.5". With area rivers currently well below flood stage and low QPF in the forecast, no flooding is expected. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... Tallahassee 50 86 54 85 58 / 0 0 0 0 10 Panama City 61 82 64 82 66 / 0 0 0 10 20 Dothan 54 87 57 83 61 / 0 0 0 10 20 Albany 54 88 55 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 10 Valdosta 52 87 55 84 58 / 0 0 0 0 10 Cross City 49 85 53 85 57 / 0 0 0 0 10 Apalachicola 58 81 62 81 64 / 0 0 0 0 10 && .TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...MCDERMOTT SHORT TERM...MOORE LONG TERM...MOORE AVIATION...MCDERMOTT MARINE...MOORE FIRE WEATHER...FOURNIER HYDROLOGY...MOORE

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