Area Forecast Discussion
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938 FXUS62 KTAE 252338 AFDTAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 738 PM EDT Sat Oct 25 2014 .Near Term [Through Tonight]...
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The 7 pm EDT regional surface analysis showed an area of high pressure centered along the TX coast, with a ridge nosing to its east along the Gulf Coast. With calm to light winds, clear skies, and a dry airmass, temperatures will fall to below average across much of the region (away from the beaches and cities). Lows will be in the upper 40s, but only in the 50s at the beaches and cities.
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&& .Aviation...
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[Through 00Z Sunday] Other than a brief period of blowing sand at KDHN this evening, we expect generally unrestricted Vis and unlimited cigs through Sunday night. Winds will be light out of the N to NW, becoming W near 10 KT at KECP Sunday afternoon.
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&& .Prev Discussion [315 PM EDT]...
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.Short Term [Sunday Through Monday Night]... Stacked high pressure will move across the area through the short term period. With clear skies and weak winds, temperatures will warm to the mid 80s during the day Sunday and Monday, dipping into the low 50s Sunday night, mid 50s Monday night. .Long Term [Tuesday Through Saturday]... As the stacked high pressure moves off of the east coast, an approaching trough will help push through our next cold front on Wednesday. This next system will have very little energy and will likely only bring us rain with higher chances for our northern zones. Highs will be in the 80s with lows in the mid 50s to around 60 Tuesday and Wednesday. After the front moves through, highs will be in the 70s and lows will be in the upper 40s to low 50s. By the weekend, a shortwave trough aloft will push an even colder airmass south. Highs on Saturday may be in the upper 60s to low 70s. .Marine... High pressure over the southeast will mean weak winds and low seas through the weekend. Winds will shift to the south and increase ahead of our next cold front on Wednesday, but remain below headline criteria. Winds will shift to north and increase in the wake of the cold front, possibly approaching advisory conditions next weekend. .Fire Weather... Fair, dry, and mild weather will continue through Tuesday. However, it will not be dry enough to meet local Red Flag Warning criteria. .Hydrology... Out area rivers are well below flood stage and no flooding is expected. Our next chance for rain will be Wednesday, but rainfall totals are expected to be below 0.5".
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&& .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... Tallahassee 48 84 52 86 55 / 0 0 0 0 10 Panama City 57 81 61 82 64 / 0 0 0 0 10 Dothan 49 84 54 84 57 / 0 0 0 0 10 Albany 50 85 53 86 56 / 0 0 0 0 10 Valdosta 49 84 52 85 55 / 0 0 0 0 10 Cross City 47 83 51 86 55 / 0 0 0 0 10 Apalachicola 55 79 60 81 63 / 0 0 0 0 10 && .TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...FOURNIER SHORT TERM...MOORE LONG TERM...MOORE AVIATION...FOURNIER MARINE...MOORE FIRE WEATHER...FOURNIER HYDROLOGY...MOORE

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