Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FNUS74 KAMA 152028
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR 3RD ST RX BURN...BORGER IRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
228 PM CST MON DEC 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON DECEMBER 17.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY 20 FOOT WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE
WEDNESDAY ALTHOUGH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CAUSING WINDS TO VEER OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. NEAR
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RESULT IN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES TO BE AROUND 50 PERCENT SO NEITHER ELEVATED OR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. AN UPPER-LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE EASTERN TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...WITH ANY RAIN EXPECTED TO STAY EAST OF THE
BURN SITE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....       AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   FOG    FOG    FOG    FOG    FOG
TEMP............61     54     53     51     52     53
RH..............57     79     84     92     89     90
20 FT WIND......SE 10  S 14   S 14   S 12   S 13   S 13
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     25     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 5500-7000
                    FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 17 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 29
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     50     53     61     67     71
RH..............92     89     84     61     48     39
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 10   SW 13  SW 14  SW 15  S 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20     25     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...KRAUSE
REQUESTED BY...CHIEF WATSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141217.3RDST.01/AMA







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