Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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021
FLUS44 KMOB 162146 AAA
HWOMOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
346 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-172215-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
346 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS...SPREADING EAST ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW STRONG STORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE...OCCURRING LATE THIS EVENING AND ON PAST
MIDNIGHT...GENERALLY SOUTH OF US HIGHWAY 84. ALONG THE COAST AND
OFFSHORE...WHERE SLIGHTLY HIGHER INSTABILITY RESIDES...AN ELEVATED
RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER EXISTS. THE MAIN THREAT IN ANY STORMS THAT BECOME
BRIEFLY SEVERE WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS FILTERS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST EARLY IN
THE WEEK AS A LARGE ARCTIC SURFACE HIGH EXPANDS OVER THE DEEP SOUTH.
VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ARE FORCAST MONDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS RANGING
FROM 23 TO 28 NORTH OF THE COAST. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON ARE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
WITH LOWS PLUNGING TO NEAR 20 OVER THE INTERIOR. A HARD FREEZE IS LOCALLY
DEFINED AS 20 DEGREES OR COLDER...AND A HARD FREEZE MAY OCCUR OVER
INTERIOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES ON THIS COLD WEATHER
OUTBREAK.

VERY DRY CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY SUPPORTS AN INCREASED RISK OF
WILDFIRE AS MINIMUM AFTERNOON HUMIDITY DROPS TO BELOW 25 PERCENT OVER
MANY AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

$$

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-172215-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
346 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF STRONG ARCTIC FRONT BRINGS HAZARDS TO SMALLER
MARINE CRAFT IN THE SHORT TERM. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS AROUND 20
KNOTS LATE TONIGHT...BECOME NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND INCREASING TO 20
TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS EARLY MONDAY MORNING. SEAS BUILD TO 4
TO 6 FEET.

AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A FEW STRONG TO BRIEFLY SEVERE STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES EAST OF THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH A STRONG
ARCTIC HIGH EXPANDING ACROSS THE GULF COAST. NORTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30
KNOTS WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING OVER THE OPEN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL
WATERS.



$$








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