Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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937
FLUS44 KMOB 132256
HWOMOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
555 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-141115-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
555 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING

SOUTHERLY FLOW HAS INCREASED THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY BOUNDARY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WITH THE INCREASED WIND
FLOW...A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE FORECAST AREA
UNTIL 4 AM TUESDAY MORNING. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
FREQUENT GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...WITH THE
INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW COMBINED WITH SPRING TIDAL CYCLES WE AHVE
RAISED THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES TO HIGH THROUGH
TUESDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN COVERAGE AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS EXPECTED. DISCRETE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ADVANCE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO IN
ADVANCE OF THE FRONT THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND SOME WILL BECOME
STRONG TO BRIEFLY SEVERE. LATER TONIGHT AN ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE OF
STORMS IS FORECAST TO ADVANCE EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST.
THE SQUALL LINE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND
THE INTERIOR OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BY MID EVENING. THE ENTIRE LINE
WILL THEN ADVANCE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA AREA
THROUGHOUT THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS TUESDAY. THE
SQUALL LINE IS FORECAST TO EXIT THE FORECAST AREA BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARD IN THIS
SQUALL LINE...THOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES AND HAIL UP TO ONE INCH WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE INTENSE STORMS. ANOTHER CONCERN WILL
BE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. WIDESPREAD 2 TO
3 INCHES ARE FORECAST ACROSS SOUTHWEST/SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND
THE WESTERN FLORIDA...AND 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
WHERE THE STRONGER STORMS PERSIST.

THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT THE LINE WILL SLOW OVER THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF OUR FORECAST AREA...GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST THROUGH
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 65. IN THIS AREA...ISOLATED TOTALS OF UP TO 4
INCHES AND LOCALLY HIGHER WILL BE POSSIBLE. THERE NOW A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH FOR THAT AREA VALID FOR TONIGHT THROUGH 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS MAY BE REQUIRED
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-141115-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
555 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL MARINE
ZONES THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE INCREASE
TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS OVER THE MARINE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON OUT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 TO 8 FEET. BAYS...SOUNDS AND WATERWAYS WILL BECOME
CHOPPY TO ROUGH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG
TO SEVERE ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA EARLY TUESDAY...BRINGING A
MODERATE TO STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND FLOW INTO MIDWEEK. SEAS
WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 7 FEET TUESDAY EVENING...AND RANGE FROM 3 TO 5
FEET ON WEDNESDAY. LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE WINDS WILL OCCUR THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.

$$





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