Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FLUS42 KMLB 300831
HWOMLB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
431 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-010100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
431 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIA INTO THIS
EVENING.

DEEP MOISTURE AND AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL ALLOW
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES WITH SOME LOCATIONS
SEEING HIGHER AMOUNTS WHERE STORMS MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS. THE
HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR FROM LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES
SOUTH TO OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTIES INCLUDING THE ORLANDO AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. THE THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY EVENING AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH
TOWARD OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTIES. ACROSS OKEECHOBEE COUNTY AND
THE TREASURE COAST SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL
MOVE EASTWARD TOWARD THE COAST FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS UP TO TWO
TO THREE INCHES.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING
TO ROADWAYS...AND LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. AREAS THAT
HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST WEEK WILL BE ESPECIALLY
VULNERABLE TO FLOODING SHOULD HEAVY RAIN DEVELOP. SMALLER CREEKS
AND RIVERS ALREADY AT ELEVATED LEVELS MAY SEE RAPID RISES OF WATER
WITH ANY HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING TOWARD NORTHERN PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AND DEEP MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION WILL LEAD TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE OCCASIONAL
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND AND GUSTY WINDS TO 40 TO 45 MPH.
STORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
SHOWERS AND STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE MAINLAND
AND MOVING TOWARD THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS
MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 34 KNOTS.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED AT THE ATLANTIC
BEACHES TODAY WITH AN EAST TO NORTHEAST SWELL. REMEMBER TO SWIM
NEAR A LIFEGUARD AND DO NOT SWIM ALONE.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
THE SAINT JOHNS RIVER AT ASTOR WILL REMAIN JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
INTO TONIGHT. MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE RIVER.
ELEVATED WATER LEVELS ALONG THE SHINGLE CREEK AT CAMPBELL WILL BE
A CONCERN FOR FURTHER RISES POSSIBLY TO ACTION STAGE IF HEAVY RAIN
DEVELOPS ACROSS WESTERN ORANGE AND NORTHWEST OSCEOLA COUNTY TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
A STALLING FRONT ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY MAY
ONCE AGAIN BRING THE CHANCE FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
CONTINUE INTO LATE WEEK BEFORE A STRONGER COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
AREA LATE IN THE DAY ON SATURDAY. DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED NEXT
SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER TWO INCHES OR
OBSERVED FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE AT
3 2 1 2 5 5 0 2 1 2.

$$

VOLKMER






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