Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FLUS42 KMLB 181701
HWOMLB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
100 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-190200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
100 PM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A LARGE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO
PUSH EASTWARDS THROUGH THE DAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS
IN THE EASTERN GULF. THIS ACTIVITY HAS BEGUN TO MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING HOURS AS THE LOW TRAVERSES THE STATE OVERNIGHT.

BREEZY LOW LEVEL WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST BEHIND A
WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW IN THE GULF. WINDS ALOFT ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL MAKE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
ROTATING STORMS...WHICH MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED TORNADOES. A FEW STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND HAIL. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE WITH ANY ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD
OF THE MAIN LINE.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
THE MOIST ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION AND SLOW MOVEMENT OF
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ALLOW THIS AFTERNOON`S AND EVENING`S
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 2
INCHES IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME AND MAY CAUSE NUISANCE FLOODING OF
STREETS AND LOW-LYING AREAS.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL APPROACH THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. INCREASING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
WILL PUSH THIS ACTIVITY OFF TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 30 TO 35
KNOTS. STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS AS THEY MOVE ACROSS INLAND LAKES AND EVENTUALLY
OFFSHORE.

.WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
STORMS MOVING OFF THE COAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY
ACQUIRE ROTATION AND PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS DUE INCREASING WIND SHEAR.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET WINDS HAVE BECOME SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS BEHIND THE WARM FRONT WHICH PASSED THROUGH THIS MORNING. SEAS
WILL CONTINUE 5 TO 7 FEET NEARSHORE AND 7 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTH
OF SEBASTIAN INLET...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AS
SOUTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE AROUND 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
EASTERLY SWELL AND THE RECENT FULL MOON WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT
IN A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES TODAY. CHECK
WITH LIFEGUARDS ABOUT OCEAN HAZARDS WHEN ARRIVING AT THE BEACH AND
SWIM ONLY WHERE THERE IS A LIFEGUARD ON DUTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE EAST OF THE
STATE BY SATURDAY NIGHT BRINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
PENINSULA. SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
AND A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON SATURDAY AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. BRISK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BRING UNFAVORABLE
BOATING CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY...WITH A NORTH NORTHEASTERLY WIND
SURGE BEHIND THE FRONT BRINGING HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ON
SUNDAY WITH GUSTS NEAR GALE FORCE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE
IF NEEDED.

$$

MOSES/BOWEN










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