Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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746
FXUS64 KLIX 260955
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
355 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS HAVE FINALLY MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND TEMPERATURES HAVE
REALLY DROPPED THIS MORNING UNDER CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES THIS
MORNING HAVE DROPPED TO BELOW FREEZING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHSHORE AND MID 30S SOUTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. EXPECT A
BEAUTIFUL DAY ACROSS THE AREA AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SHOULD QUICKLY
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATER ON TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THIS FEATURE
CAN BE SEEN WELL ON THE IR IMAGERY THIS MORNING OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THIS FRONT WILL ONLY SERVE AS A REINFORCING SHOUT OF COLD
AIR AS THERE IS NO MOISTURE TO WORK WITH OVER THE AREA. HIGH
PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN OVER THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AS
A SLIGHT WARMING TREND STARTS AND CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK INTO THE 70S BY SUNDAY. THE HIGH
SLIDES EAST BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AND THAT WILL ALLOW FOR
SOME MOISTURE TO RETURN AND MODEL GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT SOME SORT
OF BOUNDARY OR FRONT NORTH OF THE AREA THAT COULD SERVE AS ENOUGH
LIFT TO KICK OFF A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS. SO WILL CARRY A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS STARTING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GUIDANCE IS
NOT REALLY CONSISTENT ON THE NEXT MAJOR RAIN CHANCE BUT IT LOOKS
TO FAVOR SOMETIME AFTER THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. 13/MH

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS TODAY. ANOTHER SURGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ENTER THE REGION TONIGHT TO BRING AN INCREASE IN NORTH
WINDS AND HIGHER GUSTS AT KNEW MAINLY AFTER 27/06Z. 24/RR

&&

.MARINE...
RE-ENFORCING SURGE OF COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING INTO THE NORTH
GULF TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING DUE TO RENEWED COLD AIR ADVECTION OVER
RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS. WILL POST A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TO GO INTO
EFFECT AT 6 PM CST FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS EAST OF THE MS RIVER AND AFTER
MIDNIGHT FOR THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS. WILL INDICATE `EXERCISE CAUTION`
CONDITIONS ON LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND WESTERN COASTAL WATERS FOR TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN STAYS PARKED OVER THE GULF STATES WHILE SLOWLY MODERATING
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY. SOME RETURN FLOW AHEAD OF NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM GETS
UNDERWAY SUNDAY. 24/RR

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  67  39  58  35 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  69  41  61  37 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  66  40  61  38 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  67  47  60  44 /   0   0   0   0
GPT  66  42  60  40 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  64  38  60  37 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$







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