562
FXUS64 KLIX 192049
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
349 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

.DISCUSSION...ACTIVITY WILL BE LOWER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS OUR
S/W DEPARTS TO THE EAST AND HGHTS RISE OVER THE NWRN/NCTRL GULF
COAST STATES. THE BNDRY DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION WILL ALSO BEGIN TO
DISSIPATE/BECOME DIFFUSE. EVEN THOUGH THE RIDGE WILL BE BUILDING IN
ALOFT WE WILL STILL HAVE A FOCUS AT THE SURFACE WITH THE OLD FRONT.
ISLTD TO SCT DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE TOMORROW THX TO
ABUNDANT MOISTURE REMAINING IN THE AREA AND THE LINGERING BNDRY BUT
FRI LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE MOSTLY DRY WITH JUST ISLTD CONVECTION AT
BEST. THE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN THIS WEEKEND AND MDLS
CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME SORT OF WEAKNESS OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY WITH
HIGHER HGHTS OVER THE SRN PLAINS AND JUST OFF THE SE COAST BY SUN.
THIS WEAKNESS ALONG DEEPER SE FLOW WILL LEAD TO BETTER RAIN CHANCES
THIS WEEKEND WITH THE SEABREEZE EXPECTED TO BE QUITE ACTIVE SUN AND
LIKELY INITIATING AROUND OR EVEN JUST SLIGHTLY BEFORE MIDDAY.

HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK BROAD WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WITH BE IN
PLACE BEFORE A STOUT RIDGE DEVELOP OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.  A
L/W TROUGH LOOKS TO LAY UP OVER THE APPALACHIANS AND WITH THAT
DIURNAL CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTN...ESPECIALLY FROM TUE
THROUGH THU. /CAB/

&&

.MARINE...MOSTLY LGT WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK AND FIRST
HALF OF THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD AT THE SFC OVER THE
MID ATLANTIC STATES AND THIS WILL LEAD TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW
SETTING BACK UP. ONSHORE FLOW WILL TO CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK. /CAB/

&&

.AVIATION...WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ACROSS THE AREA HAVE WEAKENED AND
DIMINISHED QUITE A BIT OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. LIGHT SHOWERS MAY
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS BUT NOT EXPECTING MUCH ACTIVITY
AFTER 06Z. FOG NOT EXPECTED TO BE A BIG ISSUE BUT A COUPLE LOCATIONS
SUCH AS HUM AND MCB SHOULD HAVE AT LEAST A LITTLE -BR NEAR SUNRISE.
WINDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD. VFR WILL PREVAIL
OUTSIDE OF RAIN IMPACTS AND MORNING FOG. /MEFFER/

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE...BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.
             MONITORING RIVER FLOODING

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  67  91  68  91 /  30  20  10  20
BTR  70  92  73  92 /  30  20  10  20
ASD  71  91  72  90 /  30  30  10  20
MSY  75  91  75  90 /  30  30  10  20
GPT  71  91  73  89 /  30  30  20  20
PQL  68  92  71  92 /  30  30  20  20

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT/LONG/MARINE: CAB
AVIATION: MEFFER