Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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384
FXUS64 KLIX 231726
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1126 AM CST MON FEB 23 2015

.AVIATION...

...18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

A LOW STRATUS DECK WILL LINGER OVER THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE
ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD AS WARMER AND MORE MOIST AIR OVERRUNS A
COLD POOL OF AIR AT THE SURFACE. CEILINGS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
FROM 500 TO 1000 FEET...ALTHOUGH SOME IMPROVEMENT TO 1500 FEET
WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.
OVERALL...A COMBINATION OF IFR AND MVFR RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED.
SOME LIGHT RAIN WILL ALSO DEVELOP THIS EVENING...WHICH COULD PUSH
VISIBILITIES DOWN INTO MVFR RANGE. THERE WILL BE A RISK OF THE
RAIN CHANGING OVER TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN FOR A FEW HOURS AROUND
12Z TOMORROW AT KMCB. GIVEN THE LOW CHANCE...HAVE OPTED TO LEAVE
THE MENTION OF FREEZING RAIN OUT OF THE KMCB TAF FOR NOW. 32

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  42  31  46  40 /  60  70  30  50
BTR  45  34  47  39 /  60  60  40  50
ASD  48  36  49  44 /  60  60  50  50
MSY  49  40  48  46 /  50  60  50  50
GPT  48  37  49  46 /  50  60  40  50
PQL  48  36  49  44 /  50  60  40  50

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 9 AM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: EAST FELICIANA...POINTE COUPEE...AND WEST
     FELICIANA.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

MS...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 9 PM MONDAY TO 9 AM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: AMITE...PIKE...AND WILKINSON.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR SOUND...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO
     STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO
     THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
     MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM...LAKE
     BORGNE...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

&&

$$







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