Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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052
FXUS64 KLIX 220401 AAA
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1001 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2015

.UPDATE...
THE FORECAST GRIDS AND PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED IN THE FIRST
PERIOD TO LOWER POPS SOMEWHAT AND ADJUST TIMING OF THE
RAIN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE
AREA...REMOVE THUNDER...AND RECONFIGURE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
AREA. THE SHOWERS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO MOVE INTO/DEVELOP ACROSS THE
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING.
THEREFORE...HAVE ADJUSTED THE HIGHER POPS UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT AND
REMOVED THE MENTION OF THUNDER AS MOST OF THE LIGHTING ACTIVITY TO
THE NORTH HAS ABATED. WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS HAVE
DIMINISHED SUBSTANTIALLY AND ARE NOW BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.
HOWEVER...SEAS IN THE OUTER WATERS REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY CRITERIA.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE IN THE OUTER WATERS THROUGH
THE NIGHT. 11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  58  65  36  41 /  70  50  60  60
BTR  60  70  40  44 /  50  40  50  60
ASD  58  73  44  49 /  40  30  40  50
MSY  59  72  46  49 /  30  30  40  50
GPT  57  70  44  50 /  30  30  40  50
PQL  58  72  44  50 /  30  30  40  50

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$







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