Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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877
FXUS64 KLIX 221730
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1130 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2015

.AVIATION...

...18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH ACROSS THE GULF
SOUTH TODAY. WINDS WILL VEER FROM A SOUTHWEST DIRECTION THIS
AFTERNOON TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION BETWEEN 22Z AND 02Z THIS
EVENING. THESE WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE TO ABOVE 12 KNOTS WITH
HIGHER GUSTS AT KNEW AFTER 05Z. IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT...A
SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCU FIELD RANGING FROM 1500 TO 2500 FEET
WILL KEEP MVFR CONDITIONS AS THE PREVAILING CONDITION AT THE
MAJORITY OF TERMINALS THROUGH THE 22Z TO 02Z TIME FRAME. ONLY KMCB
IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING LIFR RESTRICTIONS AS A POST-FRONTAL LOW
STRATUS DECK IS ALREADY IN PLACE. THIS LOW STRATUS DECK WILL
SLOWLY SPREAD TO THE SOUTH AND SHOULD BE IN PLACE OVER ALL OF THE
TERMINALS BY 05Z TONIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE. EXPECT TO SEE
PREVAILING IFR AND LIFR CEILINGS DOMINATE THROUGH AROUND 13-14Z.
SOME MINOR IMPROVEMENTS IN CEILINGS INCREASING FROM 300-800 FEET
TO 800-1500 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER 14Z.  32

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  65  38  41  31 /  70  50  60  60
BTR  70  41  44  33 /  60  50  60  60
ASD  73  44  49  37 /  50  40  50  50
MSY  72  47  49  39 /  50  30  50  50
GPT  70  45  50  37 /  50  40  50  50
PQL  72  44  50  38 /  50  40  50  50

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT TUESDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA
     OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
     PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE
     MAUREPAS...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT TUESDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BRETON SOUND...CHANDELEUR
     SOUND...COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA
     OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
     PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON
     OUT 20 NM...LAKE BORGNE...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE
     MAUREPAS...AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND.

&&

$$







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