Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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848
FXUS64 KLIX 192046
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
346 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A 1022MB HIGH OVER THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH THE RIDGE AXIS TO EAST TEXAS. UPPER AIR
ANALYSIS SHOWED A TROUGH AXIS FROM EAST OF THE HUDSON BAY TO THE
EASTERN SEABOARD AND LIGHT NORTHWEST FLOW OVER LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. PRECIPITABLE WATER PLOTS ON A PLANER VIEW REVEALED AROUND
0.5 INCH OR LESS OVER EAST THIRD CONUS. 18

&&

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASANT FALL LIKE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. A
CLIPPER WILL MAINTAIN A TROUGH OVER THE OHIO VALLEY/EAST COAST
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. THIS WILL DRIVE ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AND MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS. AS
A RESULT...ANY DEVELOPMENT OF ANY KIND OVER THE GULF WILL REMAIN
SOUTH OF THE COAST AND DISPLACE MOISTURE EAST TO FLORIDA THROUGH
THE WEEK. ALL IN ALL...A DRY FORECAST IS EXPECTED WITH THIS
PACKAGE. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE THE PERIOD WILL GENERALLY BE
QUITE PLEASANT WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S AND LOWS
RANGING FROM THE UPPER 40S TO THE LOWER 60S. 18

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT WITH VARIABLE DIRECTION FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL
MID MORNING MONDAY. NO FOG OR APPRECIABLE CLOUD DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED.

MEFFER

&&

.MARINE...
MODERATE CAA CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT SWUNG THRU OVERNIGHT. WIND SPEED ARE
ALREADY FADING...AND WILL BECOME MORE EASTERLY TONIGHT WITH HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING OVER THE GULF COAST STATES. THEREAFTER...MODERATE
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE REINFORCED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY. MODELS FORECAST LOW PRESSURE TO DEVELOP AROUND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA OR SOUTH GULF BY MID WEEK WHICH IN CONJUNCTION
WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH WILL ACT TO TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO.

MEFFER

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE...GREEN.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...SLURRY SUPPORT.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED
         WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK SVR
         AND/OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL
         SIGNIFICANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  76  47  79  52 /   0   0  10  10
BTR  79  52  81  54 /   0   0  10  10
ASD  77  48  80  50 /   0   0  10  10
MSY  77  58  80  61 /   0   0  10  10
GPT  77  51  79  54 /   0   0  10  10
PQL  77  48  79  48 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$







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