Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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704
FLUS44 KJAN 132223
HWOJAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
523 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>028-034>036-
040>042-047-142230-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-
HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-WARREN-
523 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL
SUPPORT SEVERE WEATHER WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH BEING
THE PRIMARY RISK ALONG WITH A FEW TORNADOES. QUARTER SIZE HAIL WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY. DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH AND LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS UP TO FIVE INCHES COULD CAUSE FLOODING MONDAY.
LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST OF A BASTROP LOUISIANA TO GREENWOOD MISSISSIPPI
LINE HAVE THE GREATEST RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

FROST CAPABLE OF DAMAGING TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS POSSIBLE FOR 1 TO 2 HOURS IN SPOTS.

PATCHY FROST CAPABLE OF MINOR DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY.

$$

MSZ029>033-038-039-045-046-051-052-057-058-066-142230-
WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE-JONES-
523 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...LIMITED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY MONDAY

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS MONDAY. THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
SEVERE WEATHER WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH BEING THE PRIMARY
RISK. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY MONDAY AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH AND LARGE HAIL TO
THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE. A FEW TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS UP TO FIVE INCHES COULD CAUSE FLOODING MONDAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO
EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

FROST CAPABLE OF DAMAGING TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS POSSIBLE FOR 1 TO 2 HOURS IN SPOTS.

PATCHY FROST CAPABLE OF MINOR DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

$$

MSZ037-043-044-048>050-053>056-059>065-072>074-142230-
ATTALA-MADISON MS-LEAKE-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
523 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

TORNADOES
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MAINLY TONIGHT

FLOODING
RISK...ELEVATED
TIMING...MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA DURING EARLY MORNING HOURS
MONDAY. THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
SEVERE WEATHER WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH BEING THE
PRIMARY RISK. A FEW TORNADOES AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WITH SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL DEVELOP
MONDAY AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH AND LARGE HAIL
TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH A FEW
TORNADOES.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS UP TO FIVE INCHES COULD CAUSE FLOODING MONDAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=4)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO
EARLY MONDAY EVENING.

FROST CAPABLE OF DAMAGING TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT. A LIGHT
FREEZE IS POSSIBLE FOR 1 TO 2 HOURS IN SPOTS.

PATCHY FROST CAPABLE OF MINOR DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION IS EXPECTED
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

$$

EC

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
HIGH...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
HIGH...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH
 OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
HIGH...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.


...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.JACKSONMS.GOV
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER RFC HOME PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LMRFC/
NWS SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/NATIONALFLOODOUTLOOK/INDEX.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESS_RAIN.SHTML
WPC EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFERD.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 7 QPF...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
WPC QPF DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFHSD.HTML
NWS JAN OBSERVED PRECIPITATION IMAGES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=PRECIPMAPS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!






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