Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
112 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

ALZ011>015-017>050-141815-
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-
CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-
CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-
BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
112 PM CDT MON OCT 13 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE POTENTIAL FOR TWO ROUNDS OF SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING
DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND TORNADOES...EXIST THROUGH AT
LEAST TUESDAY MORNING.

FIRST...THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...ISOLATED
DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WEST OF A TROY...TO ROCKFORD...TO RAGLAND LINE. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD NORTH THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

SECOND...A SQUALL LINE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE
AND EMBEDDED TORNADOES WILL MOVE INTO THE WEST AROUND 6 PM. THIS
SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS

ALTHOUGH SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA...THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE WEST OF A LINE FROM SELMA TO
BIRMINGHAM. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
OF 60 MPH OR GREATER AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THERE IS A SLIGHTLY
LOWER THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM...A TIGHTENED PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 MPH AND WIND
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...OUTSIDE OF ANY
CONVECTION.

ANY STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH 1.5 TO 3 INCHES
EXPECTED AREAWIDE THROUGH TOMORROW. PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA HAVE RECEIVED 2 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE LAST SEVERAL
DAYS...AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FOR
LOCATIONS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM MILLPORT TO
CORDOVA TO ONEONTA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A COMBINATION OF SQUALL LINE AND SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
TO BE ONGOING TUESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EAST. THE
THREAT OF DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THERE IS A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST...BUT THIS ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE. THE
THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH
OF A LINE FROM MILLPORT TO CORDOVA TO ONEONTA THROUGH MID DAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE
NEEDED FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

$$









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