National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

   I'm dreaming of a.....   

 White Christmas...

So, what are the chances of a white Christmas
on any given year in Middle Tennessee?

Since the winter of 1884 and 1885, when
snowfall records began in Nashville, snow has
fallen 24 times on Christmas Day. Only 10 
have been a measurable amount. A measurable
amount is one tenth of an inch or more.

From a statistical standpoint, there is a 19 percent
chance of a trace or more of snow on Christmas 
Day, but only an 8 percent chance of measurable
snow.

The last time measurable snow fell on Christmas
Day was in 2010, when 1.1 inches occurred.

The last time measurable snow fell, prior to
2010, was on Christmas 1993--when 0.3 inches 
occurred. That same amount fell on Christmas
1992 in downtown Nashville, with 1 to 2 inches 
in the Joelton and Ridgetop areas. The years 
1992 and 1993 are the only two consecutive 
Christmases on record with measurable 
snowfall.

The last white Christmas in Nashville was 2010, when
1.1 inches of snow fell. A white Christmas is one or
more inches of snowfall.