White Christmas in Middle Tennessee

...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FIRST MEASURABLE SNOWFALL ON CHRISTMAS IN
17 YEARS...

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY AND INTO
THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES THIS WEEKEND INCLUDING MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
THIS SYSTEM WILL INTERACT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT
WILL MOVE DOWN INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST OVER THE CHRISTMAS
WEEKEND.

MOISTURE WILL BE DRAWN NORTH AHEAD OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AS
COLDER AIR SINKS SOUTHWARD. A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET...AND RAIN IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH LIGHT SNOW CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY INTO
EARLY MONDAY. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED BY
MONDAY MORNING ARE ONE TO TWO INCHES IN NASHVILLE AND SURROUNDING
COUNTIES...WITH TWO TO THREE INCHES IN EASTERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE
FROM COOKEVILLE TO CROSSVILLE AND NORTH TO JAMESTOWN. WESTERN
AREAS OF THE MID STATE WILL RECEIVE LESS THAN AN INCH.

THERE HAVE BEEN ONLY NINE CHRISTMASES WITH MEASURABLE AMOUNTS OF
SNOW SINCE SNOWFALL RECORD KEEPING BEGAN IN NASHVILLE BACK IN THE
WINTER OF 1884 AND 1885. THE LAST TIME MEASURABLE SNOW FELL ON
CHRISTMAS DAY IN NASHVILLE WAS IN 1993 WHEN THREE TENTHS OF AN
INCH WAS MEASURED. TRACE AMOUNTS OF SNOW FELL ON CHRISTMAS IN
2002. STATISTICALLY THERE IS ONLY A 7 PERCENT CHANCE OF MEASURABLE
SNOW ON ANY GIVEN CHRISTMAS. THE MOST SNOW EVER TO FALL ON
CHRISTMAS IN NASHVILLE IS 2.7 INCHES IN 1969.


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