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You are at: NWS Home » SRH Home » WFO Mobile Home » Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Click here for the text version of the Hazardous Weather Outlook

...Area Hazards for the next 24 Hours...
Valid as of 10/2/2013 3:53 AM CST


Risk Level	Description
Low	Weak Rip Currents Possible; Weak swimmers stay in shallow water
Moderate	Rip Currents Likely; Weak swimmers should not enter surf above knees
High	Strong to very Strong Rip Currents Likely; All swimmers stay out of surf

Click here for Surf Zone Forecast

Rip Current Safety Tips

				
359
FLUS44 KMOB 021548 AAA
HWOMOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1047 AM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-031100-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
1047 AM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
TODAY ACROSS COASTAL ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND
INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

RIP CURRENT RISK INCREASES THROUGH LATE WEEK AND IS FORECAST TO BE
HIGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA MOVES
NORTH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...APPROACHING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
REGION BY SATURDAY. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE THIS WEEKEND AS THE LOW
MOVES INTO THE GENERAL AREA AND A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE IF THE TRACK OF THE LOW IS
ACROSS OR WEST OF THE LOCAL AREA. IN ADDITION...A PROLONGED EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WIND MAY RESULT IN SOME MINOR COASTAL FLOODING FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

OUR BEST ESTIMATION FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IS 3 TO 4 INCHES WITH 6 TO
8 INCHES ON A LOCAL BASIS. THESE AMOUNTS WOULD MAINLY BE THE
COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...INCLUDING THE INTERIOR OF THESE COUNTIES FROM EARLY
SATURDAY THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY. THESE AMOUNTS ARE SUBJECT TO
CONSTRAINTS OF CURRENT FORECAST UNCERTAINTY AND WILL LIKELY BE
ADJUSTED.

IMMEDIATE COASTAL RESIDENTS CAN ALSO EXPECT MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
IMPACTS AT THE TIME OF BOTH HIGH TIDES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY EVENINGS.
LOW TIDES IN BETWEEN WILL NOT RECEDE THAT MUCH DUE TO PERSISTENT
ONSHORE WINDS.

ALSO FOR THOSE LIVING ON OCEAN-FACING BARRIER ISLANDS EXPECT SOME
WAVE RUN UP TO CAUSE MINOR FLOODING...HIGH WAVES IN THE LOCAL SURF
ZONE AND POTENTIAL MINOR EROSION FROM FRIDAY EVENING TRHOUGH EARLY
SUNDAY.

WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN COASTAL RAINBANDS
REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THE SYSTEM BECOMES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR
STORM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

AREA RESIDENTS AND VISITORS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE FORECAST OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS REGARDING THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN THE
GULF.

$$

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-031100-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1047 AM CDT WED OCT 2 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE FROM SOUTH
TO NORTH ACROSS THE MARINE AREA TODAY. BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES CAN BE EXPECTED. A FEW WATERSPOUTS ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

WINDS AND WAVES TO INCREASE AS A DISTURBANCE OVER THE NORTHWEST
CARIBBEAN SEA IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FRIDAY
INTO SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS BEING MONITORED FOR TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY EXISTS REGARDING THE
EVENTUAL TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM. AT A MINIMUM...SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED LATE WEEK AND INTO THE EARLY WEEKEND.
ABUNDANT STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE GULF
COASTAL WATERS THROUGH LATE SUNDAY. WATERSPOUTS ARE LIKELY FROM LATE
WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND AS ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS BECOME SUPPORTIVE OF
THIS HAZARD.

$$

National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office