ACTIVITY SLOW TO FIRE TODAY. SEVERAL AREAS OF CONVERGENCE NOTED ON LATEST SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY...THEREFORE EXPECT COVERAGE OF STORMS TO INCREASE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...ESPECIALLY INLAND. OVERNIGHT POPS NOT LIKELY ALONG THE COAST AS THE FLOW COMPONENT REMAINS ALONG SHORE TO SLIGHTLY OFFSHORE.

WITH LOW LEVEL RIDGE AXIS CONTINUING TO DROP SLOWLY SOUTH FRIDAY...AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL FAVOR THE EAST COASTAL ZONES FROM INDIAN RIVER COUNTY NORTHWARD...AND INTERIOR COUNTIES TO THE SOUTH. SCATTERED POPS LIKELY INLAND...AS MOST ACTIVITY ADVECTS NE DURING THE DAY. EXPECT EAST COAST SEA BREEZE TO FORM...POSSIBLY LEADING TO A FEW STRONG STORMS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING OVER VOLUSIA AND BREVARD
COUNTIES DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. TEMPS ALOFT REMAIN WARM HOWEVER...AND UPPER DIVERGENCE MAY NOT BE AS PRONOUNCED AS DEPICTED BY EARLIER MODEL RUNS...SO MESOSCALE INFLUENCES WILL LIKELY RULE...AS USUAL FOR MID SUMMER.

SPRATT

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
617 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 1997

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-260000-
VOLUSIA-LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-BREVARD-OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-
ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL WATERS VOLUSIA TO MARTIN COUNTY-

.NOW...
...STRONG STORMS TO DEVELOP FROM KISSIMMEE/ST CLOUD NORTHWARD...
THROUGH 800 PM...LIGHTNING STORMS WILL BE SCATTERED FROM LAKE GEORGE AND LAKE HELEN...TO LISBON...TO APOPKA AND THE CENTRAL FLORIDA ATTRACTIONS AREA. THEY WILL
MOVE SLOWLY AND STRENGTHEN AS THEY COLLIDE WITH THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE. STORMS PRODUCING EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM KISSIMMEE/ST CLOUD...TO ORLANDO AND SANFORD...NORTHWARD INTO VOLUSIA COUNTY FROM DELAND TO THE COAST FROM DAYTONA BEACH NORTHWARD. AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORM WILL ALSO MOVE NORTH ALONG THE OSCEOLA/INDIAN RIVER COUNTY LINE BETWEEN BLUE CYPRESS LAKE AND YEEHAW JUNCTION.
CRISTALDI
$$

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
703 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 1997

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE FL HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 750 PM EDT
FOR PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING LOCATION...

IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
...VOLUSIA COUNTY

AT 700 PM...MELBOURNE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPING ALONG I-4 JUST WEST OF DELTONA. OTHER STORMS WILL QUICKLY DEVELOP SOUTHWARD ALONG S.R. 11 TOWARDS DELAND AND LAKE HELEN. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STRONG BUILDING. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DON'T DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

CRISTALDI

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
743 PM EDT FRI JUL 25 1997

FLZ041-044>046-260145-
VOLUSIA-LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-

.NOW...
...STORMS WITH EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING OVER SEMINOLE & VOLUSIA COUNTIES...
THROUGH 900 PM...STORMS WITH EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR FROM LAKE MONROE NORTH TO DELTONA AND DELAND. OTHER STORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SEMINOLE COUNTY FROM SANFORD TO LAKE JESSUP AND OVIEDO. THESE STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN BY 900 PM.
CRISTALDI
$$

METAR KDAB 252353Z 28004KT 10SM TS FEW010 BKN032CB OVC055 28/21
 A3004 RMK A02 SLP172 CONS LTGICCCCG SW-W TS SW-NW MOV SLOLY N DARK
 SW-W T02830211 10339 20278 53009

THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION WRITTEN ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON...ACCURATELY DEFINED THE POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING ACROSS VOLUSIA COUNTY OVER 24 HOURS AHEAD OF TIME BASED ON EXPECTED BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS. THE FOLLOWING AFTERNOON...NOWCASTS WERE ISSUED TO EMPHASIZE THE LIGHTNING DANGER BASED ON TLI OBSERVATIONS. NOTE THE DAB OBSERVATION OF CONTINUOUS CG LIGHTNING TO THE SW THROUGH W. SEVERE WEATHER IN THE FORM OF WIND DAMAGE ALSO OCCURRED IN VOLUSIA COUNTY...SEE LISDAD DATA.