000 WTUS82 KMLB 131713 HLSMLB AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 132115- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 110 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004 ...HURRICANE CHARLEY HEADING TOWARD SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE... ...INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR ALL INTERIOR COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE... ORANGE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN AND OKEECHOBEE. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM JUPITER INLET NORTHWARD. AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR LAKE... SEMINOLE...ORANGE...WESTERN VOLUSIA...OSCEOLA...AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR OSCEOLA...SOUTHERN BREVARD... SOUTHERN OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...OKEECHOBEE...MARTIN AND ST LUCIE COUNTIES UNTIL 5PM. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 1PM AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS ABOUT 240 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ORLANDO FLORIDA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE TRACK OF HURRICANE CHARLEY HAS BEEN SHIFTING MORE TO THE RIGHT TODAY INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OVER SOUTHERN BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...MARTIN AND ST LUCIE COUNTIES LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. THERE IS VERY LITTLE TIME TO TAKE ANY ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IN THIS AREA AS OUTER RAINBANDS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES MAY BEGIN MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY TO MARTIN COUNTY WITHIN A FEW HOURS. WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE SHOULD NOT BEGIN UNTIL LATER THIS AFTERNOON. BE SURE TO FASTEN DOWN OR REMOVE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT ARE OUTSIDE. SECURE GARAGE DOORS...ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT FACE INTO THE WIND. IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME CONSIDER STAYING WITH FRIENDS OR RELATIVES IN A SUBSTANTIAL STRUCTURE. THE TRACK OF HURRICANE CHARLEY IS UNCERTAIN RESIDENTS MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION CLOSELY. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. PEAK WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE FORCE...ESPECIALLY IN LAKE...WESTERN ORANGE... SEMINOLE...AND WESTERN VOLUSIA COUNTIES. SUSTAINED WINDS ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF MARTIN...ST LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER AND SOUTHERN BREVARD ARE NOW EXPECTED TO REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND POSSIBLY HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS IN NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES WILL COME LATE THIS EVENING. ALSO...RAINBANDS AROUND CHARLEY MAY PRODUCE GUSTS TO 75 MPH. LARGE TREES AND SIGNS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. SOME WIND DAMAGE MAY ALSO OCCUR TO MOBILE HOMES IF UNANCHORED. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... BECAUSE THE PREVAILING WIND ALONG THE COAST WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AND THEN SOUTHWEST MINOR COASTAL STORM SURGE AND BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED FROM CHARLEY PRIMARILY IN NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE AT 7PM TONIGHT. BY THE NEXT HIGH TIDE AROUND 7AM SATURDAY THE EFFECTS OF CHARLEY SHOULD BE RAPIDLY DIMINISHING. AS SOUTHERLY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DEVELOP ALONG PARTS OF THE COAST THIS EVENING...VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS WILL SET UP WITHIN THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY IN BREVARD COUNTY AND THEN LATER THIS EVENING IN VOLUSIA COUNTY. THIS COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR FLOODING IN LOW AREAS...MINOR SHORELINE EROSION AND DAMAGE TO BOATS...DOCKS AND PIERS. STRONG SOUTH WINDS BLOWING ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE COULD BRING A SMALL SURGE TO SOUTHERN OKEECHOBEE COUNTY... POSSIBLY AFFECTING THE OKEE TANTIE CAMPGROUND WHICH HAS BEEN EVACUATED. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF THREE TO FOUR INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN IN SPOTS AS CHARLEY PASSES THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND INTO SATURDAY. PLACES ALREADY SATURATED FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE TO SERIOUS FLOODING. IMPORTANTLY...LOCATIONS CLOSEST TO THE CENTER TRACK OF CHARLEY STAND TO RECEIVE THE MOST RAIN. ...MARINE IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD UP THE PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE AN ADDITIONAL THREAT OF STRONG WIND GUSTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS IN THE RAIN BANDS THAT WILL FEED INTO CHARLEY AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TOWARD SHORE. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... THE TRACK OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL PUT ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF ITS CIRCULATION WHICH IS THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. A TORNADO WATCH IS OUT FROM BREVARD AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES SOUTHWARD AND WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. AN OUTBREAK OF SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THE FIRST OF A SERIES OF OUTER RAINBANDS WILL MOVE INTO OKEECHOBEE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON INCREASING THE TORNADO THREAT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 3 PM OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB $$