000 WTUS82 KMLB 131536 HLSMLB AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 132030- HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 1130 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004 ...HURRICANE CHARLEY HEADING TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST... ...INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR ALL INTERIOR COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM COCOA BEACH TO FLAGLER BEACH...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO IN EFFECT FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM COCOA BEACH SOUTH TO JUPITER INLET... ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE... ORANGE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN AND OKEECHOBEE. ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM COCOA BEACH NORTHWARD WHICH INCLUDES NORTH BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. FROM COCOA BEACH SOUTH...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT AND INCLUDES SOUTH BREVARD...INDIAN RIVER...SAINT LUCIE... AND MARTIN COUNTIES. AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR LAKE... SEMINOLE...ORANGE...WESTERN VOLUSIA...OSCEOLA...AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR OSCEOLA...SOUTHERN BREVARD... SOUTHERN OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...OKEECHOBEE...MARTIN AND ST LUCIE COUNTIES UNTIL 5PM. ...STORM INFORMATION... AT 11 AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH OF SARASOTA FLORIDA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THE TRACK OF HURRICANE CHARLEY HAS BEEN SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT SINCE THIS MORNING AND THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON HOW SOON CHARLEY WILL SHIFT A LITTLE FURTHER TO THE RIGHT LATER TODAY. THE BOTTOM LINE IS CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF CHARLEY WHERE THE MAJORITY OF HIGH WINDS...RAINBANDS WITH TORNADOES AND HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR. BECAUSE OF THE TRACK UNCERTAINTY AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE ALL INLAND COUNTIES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. RESIDENTS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD KEEP INFORMED THROUGHOUT THE DAY REGARDING THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY. RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ESPECIALLY IN LAKE...WESTERN VOLUSIA...WESTERN OSCEOLA...ORANGE AND SEMINOLE COUNTIES. CONSIDER TAKING ADDITIONAL PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. BE SURE TO FASTEN DOWN OR REMOVE LOOSE OBJECTS THAT ARE OUTSIDE. SECURE GARAGE DOORS...ESPECIALLY THOSE THAT FACE INTO THE WIND. IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME CONSIDER STAYING WITH FRIENDS OR RELATIVES IN A SUBSTANTIAL STRUCTURE. ...WIND IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE SOUTH AND WEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. PEAK WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE FORCE...ESPECIALLY IN LAKE...WESTERN ORANGE... SEMINOLE...AND WESTERN VOLUSIA COUNTIES. SUSTAINED WINDS ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF MARTIN...ST LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER AND SOUTHERN BREVARD ARE EXPECTED TO BE JUST BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...BUT SOME GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND POSSIBLY HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS IN NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES WILL COME LATE TONIGHT. ALSO...RAINBANDS AROUND CHARLEY MAY PRODUCE GUSTS TO 75 MPH. LARGE TREES AND SIGNS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. SOME WIND DAMAGE MAY ALSO OCCUR TO MOBILE HOMES IF UNANCHORED. PERSONS LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES SHOULD CONSIDER MOVING TO MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. ...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS... BECAUSE THE PREVAILING WIND ALONG THE COAST WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AND THEN SOUTHWEST MINOR COASTAL STORM SURGE AND BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED FROM CHARLEY PRIMARILY IN NORTHERN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE AT 7PM TONIGHT. BY THE NEXT HIGH TIDE AROUND 7AM SATURDAY THE EFFECTS OF CHARLEY SHOULD BE RAPIDLY DIMINISHING. AS SOUTHERLY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DEVELOP ALONG PARTS OF THE COAST THIS EVENING...VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS WILL SET UP WITHIN THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY IN BREVARD COUNTY AND THEN LATER THIS EVENING IN VOLUSIA COUNTY. THIS COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR FLOODING IN LOW AREAS...MINOR SHORELINE EROSION AND DAMAGE TO BOATS...DOCKS AND PIERS. STRONG SOUTH WINDS BLOWING ACROSS LAKE OKEECHOBEE COULD BRING A SMALL SURGE TO SOUTHERN OKEECHOBEE COUNTY... POSSIBLY AFFECTING THE OKEE TANTIE CAMPGROUND WHICH HAS BEEN EVACUATED. ...FLOOD IMPACTS... A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF THREE TO FOUR INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN IN SPOTS AS CHARLEY PASSES THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND INTO SATURDAY. PLACES ALREADY SATURATED FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE TO SERIOUS FLOODING. IMPORTANTLY...LOCATIONS CLOSEST TO THE CENTER TRACK OF CHARLEY STAND TO RECEIVE THE MOST RAIN. ...MARINE IMPACTS... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD UP THE PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE AN ADDITIONAL THREAT OF STRONG WIND GUSTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADIC WATERSPOUTS IN THE RAIN BANDS THAT WILL FEED INTO CHARLEY AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TOWARD SHORE. ...TORNADO IMPACTS... A TORNADO WATCH IS OUT FROM BREVARD AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES SOUTHWARD. THE TRACK OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL PUT ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF ITS CIRCULATION WHICH IS THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THE FIRST OF A SERIES OF OUTER RAINBANDS WILL MOVE INTO OKEECHOBEE AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON INCREASING THE TORNADO THREAT. ...NEXT UPDATE... THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 3 PM OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT. FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB $$